$AVGOBearishMed

Is Broadcom a Buy After Its Latest Earnings Report?

Broadcom reported Q2 revenue up 48% to $22.19 billion and EPS of $2.44, above analysts’ $2.40 estimate, with AI semiconductor revenue rising 143% to $10.8 billion. However, it projected Q3 AI chip sales of $16 billion vs $17.2 billion expected and kept full-year AI chip sales guidance at $100 billion. Broadcom shares fell over 12% after hours.

Med
Bearish
after-hours reaction following Q2 earnings and Q3 AI chip guidance
bearish—investors focused on AI chip sales guidance not being raised

Earnings beat on headline numbers, but AI chip sales guidance and unchanged full-year target triggered an expectations reset and sharp selloff.

Broadcom reported Q2 results with strong revenue/EPS, but guided Q3 AI chip sales to $16B and kept FY AI guidance at $100B, driving a >12% after-hours drop.

Near-term downside pressure likely persists until investors see evidence that Q3/FY AI chip demand or pricing will re-accelerate.

Background

Broadcom’s AI growth is driven by custom ASICs (not Nvidia-style general GPUs) and a long-term partnership with Alphabet for TPUs; it also cites multiple major custom chip customers.

Why it matters

The key trading issue is guidance: Q3 AI chip sales are projected below consensus and full-year AI chip sales guidance is maintained at $100B, prompting investors to reset near-term expectations despite strong Q2 financials.

Market relevance

Material for AVGO traders because the market reaction is driven by AI chip sales guidance versus consensus, not by the headline earnings beat.

Market effects

AI infrastructure/ASIC suppliers may face similar “guidance vs expectations” sensitivity even when revenue growth is strong.

US semis sentiment likely pressured in the immediate session by the read-through on AI chip demand expectations.

Broadcom’s AI compute/ASIC narrative is globally relevant to hyperscaler capex and AI supply-chain planning.

Alternative perspectives

Analyst commentary frames the move as an expectations reset (demand accelerating faster than expected while $/GW is stable), implying the long-term thesis may be intact.

The article highlights Alphabet’s increased capex and TPU availability to other operators, which could support Broadcom’s custom-chip demand even if near-term AI chip sales guidance lags consensus.

Key entities

  • Broadcom

    Reported Q2 beat and strong AI semiconductor growth, but guided Q3 AI chip sales to $16B and kept FY AI chip sales at $100B.

  • Alphabet

    Increased planned capex (from $185B to $190B) and expanded TPU availability; Broadcom supplies TPUs via partnership.

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