Morgan Stanley Picks Top Vertical Software Stocks Ahead of 2Q26 Earnings By Investing.com
Morgan Stanley analyst Josh Baer named ServiceTitan (TTAN) as its top vertical software pick and Toast (TOST) as the most attractive “journey” ahead of 2Q26 earnings. Baer said TTAN scored well on moat and journey metrics, while TOST has best-in-class execution, durable recurring gross profit growth, and operating leverage. Toast was also selected for the S&P MidCap 400; DA Davidson raised its target to $30 and BMO reiterated Outperform.
How this was made
The 30-second read
Why it matters
For TTAN and TOST, the actionable element is relative positioning into upcoming earnings expectations, with TOST also receiving a US index inclusion update. However, there is no new earnings/guidance datapoint in the text.
Market read
This is primarily a sell-side positioning and thesis update ahead of 2Q26 earnings, with limited incremental fundamentals in the article text.
What to watch
The article stresses rerating triggers (location adds, gross payment volume, faster ARR growth, AI monetization) but provides no new evidence that these are improving now.
Background
Morgan Stanley analyst Josh Baer issued a vertical software stock preview ahead of 2Q26 earnings, using a moat and 'journey' ranking framework.
Ticker impact
Morgan Stanley names ServiceTitan (TTAN) its top vertical software pick, citing strong moat and journey attractiveness from its January 2026 outlook.
Low to modest upward bias versus sector peers, mainly sentiment-driven until the next earnings catalyst.
The newest TTAN fact is inclusion as a top pick and the off-cycle note timing, not an earnings print, guidance change, or new contract.
Toast (TOST) is highlighted as having the most attractive 'journey' and is expected to benefit from stable restaurant demand and durable recurring gross profit growth.
Moderate support for the stock into 2Q26 earnings expectations, with rerating dependent on higher-half growth visibility.
The article’s incremental facts for TOST are the S&P MidCap 400 inclusion and the analyst thesis plus PT/rating mentions, not a new financial result.
Market effects
Reinforces a moat-plus-execution framework for vertical software, potentially influencing relative positioning across restaurant and vertical SaaS names.
No explicit regional catalyst beyond US index inclusion mention.
Limited, as the piece is US-focused analyst selection ahead of company earnings.
Counterpoint
Analyst 'moat' and 'journey' scoring may not translate into earnings beats if macro (rates, consumer demand) or software spending slows, making the setup more narrative than predictive.
Key entities
- financial_institutionMorgan Stanley
Broker-dealer whose analyst note provides the top-pick list and thesis.
- analystJosh Baer
Morgan Stanley analyst cited as author of the vertical software picks.
- companyServiceTitan
TTAN, named top pick based on moat and journey attractiveness.
- companyToast
TOST, highlighted for best-in-class execution and durable recurring gross profit growth expectations.
- indexS&P MidCap 400
Index mentioned as including Toast in a recent development.



