$MRNA

Moderna, Inc. (MRNA): Results of Operations and Financial Condition

Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) filed an SEC Form 8-K — Results of Operations and Financial Condition. Exhibit 99.1 Moderna Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Provides Business Updates Reports second quarter revenue of $0.1 billion, GAAP net loss of $(0.8) billion and GAAP EPS of $(1.97) Reiterates plan to deliver up to 10% revenue growth in 2026 Improves 2026 GAAP

Original reporting
Published Jul 31, 2026, 11:03 AM UTC
Analysis
alphai AI DeskAI-generated
Added to alphai Jul 31, 2026, 11:27 AM UTC. Informational, not investment advice.
How this was made
alphai summarizes source reporting and applies a structured AI analysis for relevance, timing, sentiment and ticker impact. Always verify material claims with the original publisher.
alphai market briefEarnings
Primary signal
$MRNA
Neutral
high confidence
Mentioned
$MRNA
Relevance
9/10
alphai data visualization · based on SEC EDGAR 8-K
Decision brief

The 30-second read

$MRNANeutralHigh
01

Why it matters

Traders can update models using the revised 2026 revenue growth target (up to 10%), lower 2026 GAAP operating expense outlook (improved by about $0.2B), and improved year-end cash guidance ($4.7 to $5.2B). Separately, the Phase 3 interim analysis failure for mRNA-1403 adds clinical execution risk and may affect probability-weighted valuation and near-term sentiment.

02

Market read

Fresh guidance and clinical trial risk are both disclosed in the same filing, creating a two-sided catalyst for valuation and positioning.

03

What to watch

Cash guidance improves partly due to the updated framework, but the $950M July litigation payment and the non-recurring settlement charge could still affect investor confidence in underlying operating burn.

Relevance 9/10Novelty 9/10Timing: filed pre-market today, with Q2 results and updated 2026 financial framework
alphai · Earnings readMRNA · second quarter of 2026 · ended June 30, 2026

Moderna Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Provides Business Updates

Mixed quarter

Total revenue was $145 million versus $142 million in the same period in 2025, while GAAP net loss improved by $43 million, or 5%, to $(0.8) billion and the Company lowered elements of its 2026 expense outlook. However, cash, cash equivalents and investments declined to $6.9 billion, the Company subsequently paid $950 million related to a litigation settlement, and the norovirus Phase 3 interim analysis did not meet statistical criteria for early success.

Revenue
$145 million
U.S. revenue
$87 million
EPS · GAAP
$(1.97)
2026 outlook
up to 10% growth from 2025 revenue

Key metrics

as reported
MetricValueq/qy/y
Total revenueGAAP$145 million
Net product salesGAAP$94 million
Other revenueGAAP$51 million
Cost of salesGAAP$93 milliondecreased by 22%
Inventory write-downs included in cost of salesGAAP$41 million
Unutilized manufacturing capacity costs included in cost of salesGAAP$23 million
Third-party royalties included in cost of salesGAAP$11 million
Research and development expensesGAAP$651 milliona 7% decrease
Selling, general and administrative expensesGAAP$216 milliona 6% decrease
Total operating expensesGAAP$960 million
Loss from operationsGAAP$(815) million
Interest incomeGAAP$67 million
Other (expense) income, netGAAP$(19) million
Loss before income taxesGAAP$(767) million
Provision for income taxesGAAP$15 million
Net lossGAAP$(0.8) billionan improvement of $43 million, or 5%
Net lossGAAP$(782) million
Net loss per share, basic and dilutedGAAP$(1.97)
Weighted average common shares used in calculation of net loss per share, basic and dilutedGAAP398 million
Six-month total revenueGAAP$534 million
Six-month net product salesGAAP$446 million
Six-month other revenueGAAP$88 million
Six-month cost of salesGAAP$1,048 million
Six-month research and development expensesGAAP$1,300 million
Six-month selling, general and administrative expensesGAAP$389 million
Six-month total operating expensesGAAP$2,737 million
Six-month loss from operationsGAAP$(2,203) million
Six-month interest incomeGAAP$139 million
Six-month other (expense) income, netGAAP$(37) million
Six-month loss before income taxesGAAP$(2,101) million
Six-month provision for income taxesGAAP$24 million
Six-month net lossGAAP$(2,125) million
Six-month net loss per share, basic and dilutedGAAP$(5.36)
Six-month weighted average common shares used in calculation of net loss per share, basic and dilutedGAAP396 million
Cash, cash equivalents and investmentsGAAP$6.9 billion

Segments

SegmentRevenueq/qy/y
U.S. revenueLower COVID vaccine sales in the U.S. were offset by deliveries in the United Kingdom under a long-term strategic government partnership and higher stand-ready manufacturing and collaboration revenue.$87 million
International revenueLower COVID vaccine sales in South America were offset by deliveries in the United Kingdom under a long-term strategic government partnership and higher stand-ready manufacturing and collaboration revenue.$58 million

2026 outlook

  • Revenueup to 10% growth from 2025 revenue
  • Tax ratefull-year tax expense to be negligible
  • Note2026 revenue split to be approximately 50% U.S. and approximately 50% international.
  • Noteapproximately 55% of its second half 2026 revenue to be recognized in the third quarter.
  • NoteCost of sales for 2026 is expected to be approximately $1.7 billion, lowered from approximately $1.8 billion, and including the $0.9 billion non-recurring litigation settlement charge.
  • NoteResearch and development expenses for 2026 are now anticipated to be approximately $2.9 billion, lowered from approximately $3.0 billion.
  • NoteSelling, general and administrative expenses for 2026 are projected to be approximately $1.0 billion.
  • NoteCapital expenditures for 2026 are expected to be $0.2 to $0.3 billion.
  • NoteYear-end cash and investments for 2026 are now projected to be $4.7 to $5.2 billion, an improvement of approximately $0.2 billion.
  • NoteThis excludes any further drawdowns from the Company's remaining $0.9 billion available under its credit facility.

What drove it

  • Deliveries in the United Kingdom under a long-term strategic government partnership.
  • Higher stand-ready manufacturing and collaboration revenue.
  • Lower unutilized manufacturing capacity costs resulting from continued manufacturing productivity improvements and operational efficiencies.
  • Lower clinical development costs following the wind-down of several late-stage programs.
  • Continued discipline across the organization.
  • A collaboration signed with a local manufacturer in Brazil in support of a supply agreement for COVID vaccines.
  • A joint procurement contract with the European Commission on behalf of six countries for up to 24 million doses of mRESVIA.

Concerns

  • Lower COVID vaccine sales in the U.S. and South America.
  • Cost of sales included $41 million of inventory write-downs and $23 million of unutilized manufacturing capacity costs.
  • The Company subsequently paid $950 million in July 2026 related to the litigation settlement announced in the first quarter of 2026.
  • Moderna's Phase 3 safety and efficacy study of mRNA-1403 did not meet statistical criteria for early success at the Phase 3 interim analysis.
  • The Company continues to maintain a global valuation allowance against most of its deferred tax assets.

What to watch

  • August 5, 2026 PDUFA goal date for mRNA-1010, Moderna's seasonal influenza vaccine candidate.
  • Further U.S. FDA guidance on refiling the submission for the flu plus COVID combination vaccine.
  • Enrollment of an additional cohort in the ongoing blinded mRNA-1403 norovirus trial.
  • Potential Phase 3 adjuvant melanoma data for intismeran in 2026.
  • Potential data from the mRNA-3927 propionic acidemia registrational study in 2026.
  • Recognition of approximately 55% of second half 2026 revenue in the third quarter.
  • Analyst Day on November 12.

Balance sheet and cash flow

  • Cash, cash equivalents and investments as of June 30, 2026, were $6.9 billion, compared to $7.5 billion as of March 31, 2026.
  • The Company subsequently paid $950 million in July 2026 related to the litigation settlement announced in the first quarter of 2026.
  • Cash and cash equivalents were $1,723 million as of June 30, 2026, compared to $2,595 million as of December 31, 2025.
  • Current investments were $3,415 million as of June 30, 2026, compared to $3,204 million as of December 31, 2025.
  • Non-current investments were $1,772 million as of June 30, 2026, compared to $2,336 million as of December 31, 2025.
  • Total assets were $10,961 million as of June 30, 2026, compared to $12,338 million as of December 31, 2025.

Analysis

Second-quarter revenue was $145 million, compared to $142 million in the same period in 2025. Net product sales were $94 million, compared to $114 million, while other revenue was $51 million, compared to $28 million. Lower COVID vaccine sales in the U.S. and South America were offset by United Kingdom deliveries under a long-term strategic government partnership and higher stand-ready manufacturing and collaboration revenue. Revenue was $87 million in the U.S. and $58 million in international markets.

The operating cost base declined year over year in the quarter. Cost of sales was $93 million, compared to $119 million, and included $41 million of inventory write-downs, $23 million of unutilized manufacturing capacity costs, and $11 million of third-party royalties. Research and development expenses were $651 million, compared to $700 million, following lower clinical development costs after the wind-down of several late-stage programs. Selling, general and administrative expenses were $216 million, compared to $230 million, reflecting continued discipline across the organization.

GAAP loss from operations was $(815) million, compared to $(907) million. GAAP net loss was $(782) million, compared to $(825) million, and management characterized the change as an improvement of $43 million, or 5%. GAAP loss per share was $(1.97), compared to $(2.13). For the six months ended June 30, total revenue was $534 million, while GAAP net loss was $(2,125) million.

Liquidity declined during the quarter, with cash, cash equivalents and investments of $6.9 billion as of June 30, 2026, compared to $7.5 billion as of March 31, 2026. The Company attributed the decrease to cash used to fund operations, continued investment in research and development, and pipeline advancement. It subsequently paid $950 million in July 2026 related to the litigation settlement announced in the first quarter of 2026.

For 2026, Moderna reiterated its target for up to 10% growth from 2025 revenue and expects an approximately even U.S. and international revenue split. It lowered expected cost of sales to approximately $1.7 billion from approximately $1.8 billion and anticipated research and development expenses to approximately $2.9 billion from approximately $3.0 billion. The year-end cash and investments projection is $4.7 to $5.2 billion, an improvement of approximately $0.2 billion, excluding further drawdowns from the remaining $0.9 billion credit-facility availability. Pipeline attention centers on the August 5, 2026 PDUFA date for mRNA-1010, potential 2026 intismeran melanoma and mRNA-3927 propionic acidemia data, and the additional cohort planned for the norovirus study after its interim analysis did not meet statistical criteria for early success.

Management, verbatim

The second quarter marked another period of strong execution for Moderna as we advanced our pipeline and strengthened our financial profile with an improved 2026 operating expense outlook. In the second half of 2026, we are preparing for the potential approval of mFLUSIVA in the U.S., which would be our fifth approved product, and continue to anticipate important pivotal readouts for our intismeran in melanoma and propionic acidemia programs.

Stéphane Bancel, Chief Executive Officer of Moderna

Not in the filing

stated, not guessed
  • Gross profit and gross margin.
  • Operating cash flow.
  • Free cash flow.
  • Debt and total liabilities, as the balance-sheet text is truncated before the liabilities section.
  • Share repurchases, dividends, and other capital-return activity.
  • Non-GAAP financial metrics.
  • Prior-quarter comparisons for operating results.
  • Previous-release outlook needed to compare reported results with prior guidance.

AlphaAI analysis generated from the company’s SEC earnings filing (Form 8-K Item 2.02, or Form 6-K for a foreign private issuer). Every figure was cross-checked against the filing text; consensus estimates, price targets and share-price reactions are not shown because they are not in the filing. AI-generated research, not investment advice.

Background

This is Moderna’s SEC Form 8-K (Item 2.02) with Q2 2026 financial results and business updates, including pipeline and regulatory timing.

Company-level read

Ticker impact

$MRNANeutralHigh confidence
Context

Moderna reported Q2 2026 results and updated 2026 outlook, including a $0.9B litigation settlement charge and a cash target of $4.7 to $5.2B.

Expected impact

Near-term volatility likely around guidance and the mRNA-1403 interim outcome, with direction dependent on how investors weigh cost/cash improvements versus clinical risk.

Evidence & confidence

The filing contains multiple new, time-sensitive disclosures: updated 2026 expense and cash framework, Q2 loss and cash balance changes, and a Phase 3 interim analysis failure for mRNA-1403.

Market effects

Biopharma investors may reprice clinical-stage risk for vaccine platforms as mRNA-1403 misses interim criteria while other programs approach regulatory milestones.

Limited direct regional read-through, though EU procurement and multiple country approvals reinforce ongoing vaccine commercialization demand.

Global vaccine supply and regulatory timelines (PDUFA and international approvals) can influence sentiment across mRNA vaccine peers.

Counterpoint

The norovirus interim miss may not end the program, since the trial remains ongoing and the company is enrolling an additional cohort.

Key entities

  • Moderna, Inc.

    Reported Q2 2026 financial results, updated 2026 financial framework, and provided pipeline/regulatory updates including mFLUSIVA PDUFA timing and mRNA-1403 interim Phase 3 outcome.

  • mRNA-1403

    Norovirus vaccine candidate; Phase 3 interim analysis did not meet statistical criteria for early success, with additional cohort enrollment planned.

  • mFLUSIVA

    Seasonal influenza vaccine candidate; potential approval anticipated with an August 5 PDUFA date and a unanimous VRBPAC recommendation.

  • mRESVIA

    RSV vaccine; Moderna reported joint procurement contract with the European Commission and regulatory approvals in multiple countries.

Every MRNA earnings report

This story covers one filing. The ticker page keeps them all: each quarter's reported metrics with year-over-year and sequential comparisons, segments, guidance, and how the numbers landed against the company's own prior outlook.

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