XRP ETF Buying Has Dropped 96% Since Launch: Can Inflows Reach Standard Chartered’s $8 Billion Forecast?
XRP ETFs launched Nov. 13, 2025. According to Standard Chartered, first-year inflows were forecast at $8 billion, but July inflows were $27.29 million, 96% below the first month’s $666.61 million. Standard Chartered cut its 2026 XRP price view 65% to $2.80. Total inflows since launch are $1.51 billion.
How this was made
The 30-second read
Why it matters
The key trading takeaway is the gap between forecasted and realized ETF demand, plus the stated legislative timeline (Sept. 15 cloture) that could change institutional buying behavior.
Market read
Traders can use the reported inflow decay and the legislative calendar to frame expectations for XRP ETF demand and related price risk into Nov. 13.
What to watch
The article focuses on inflows versus a forecast, but does not quantify fee revenue, redemption mechanics, or whether outflows are temporary rebalancing rather than structural demand loss.
Background
XRP ETFs began trading Nov. 13, 2025, and Standard Chartered set an $8B first-year inflow forecast contingent on regulatory clarity.
Ticker impact
The article says XRP ETFs pulled in $27.29M in July, 96% below the first month, and discusses how that shortfall affects XRP’s outlook.
Near-term upside odds look lower without a step-change in ETF inflows tied to regulatory clarity.
The text provides a concrete inflow trajectory (launch $666.61M, July $27.29M) and links the $8B target to regulatory passage and a Senate cloture vote on Sept. 15.
Market effects
Weak XRP ETF inflows reinforce a broader risk that alt-coin ETF demand is more sensitive to regulatory clarity and macro conditions than to spot price alone.
Limited direct regional impact; the catalyst is US legislative timing (Sept. 15) rather than regional flows.
Moderate, as US crypto ETF demand signals can influence global alt-coin sentiment and liquidity expectations.
Counterpoint
Even with low July inflows, cumulative inflows already cleared the $1.15B trigger; price could re-rate if markets front-run regulatory progress before the ETF window ends.
Key entities
- crypto assetXRP
The article centers on XRP ETF inflows and how they relate to XRP price expectations and regulatory status.
- financial institutionStandard Chartered
Cited for its forecast and its February cut to the 2026 XRP price target.
- US legislationCLARITY Act
Presented as the regulatory catalyst that could support larger XRP ETF inflows; cloture vote set for Sept. 15.
