What did the first round of Canadian bank earnings tell investors?
Canada's Big Six banks started Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings with Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) and Bank of Montreal (BMO) beating estimates. BNS reported CAD 2.28 adj. EPS (9.6% beat) and CAD 10.54B revenue (+12% YoY), while BMO reported CAD 3.96 adj. EPS (5.9% beat) and CAD 9.96B revenue (+11% YoY). Both banks showed strong capital markets performance and improved credit quality, with BNS and BMO returning capital to shareholders through buybacks and dividends.
How this was made
The 30-second read
Why it matters
Strong earnings and buybacks suggest short‑term upside for BNS and BMO, while sector peers await results.
Market read
Earnings beat and capital markets strength reinforce bullish bias for Canadian banks.
What to watch
Potential slowdown in M&A activity could dampen capital markets revenue.
Background
First earnings of Canada’s Big Six banks for Q3 FY2026, released amid falling oil prices and rising Treasury yields.
Ticker impact
Bank of Nova Scotia reported record Q3 earnings with adj. EPS of CAD 2.28 beating estimates by 9.6% and a 4.56% stock rally.
Potential upside of 3-5% over the next week.
Beat on earnings, record capital markets profit, and sizable share repurchase indicate robust momentum.
Bank of Montreal posted 22% earnings growth, adj. EPS CAD 3.96 beating estimates by 5.9%, and announced a new 25M‑share buyback.
Expect 2-4% upside in the near term.
Growth outpacing expectations and a sizable buyback tranche suggest strong investor confidence.
Market effects
Canadian banking sector may see elevated valuations as capital markets profits surge.
Positive earnings could boost broader Canadian market sentiment.
Highlights strength in North American financials amid volatile oil and yield environments.
Counterpoint
Tariff escalation and consumer credit risk could pressure future earnings.
Key entities
- companyBank of Nova Scotia
Canadian bank reporting record Q3 earnings.
- companyBank of Montreal
Canadian bank reporting 22% earnings growth and new buyback.



