CAMPBELL RYAN D sold $5.1M of DE

Caterpillar (CAT) and Deere (DE) shares fell 7% and 4% respectively as 30-year Treasury yields rose to 5.7%, the highest in over 20 years. Both companies were trading at high multiples before the selloff. CAT's growth is driven by AI-related power sector, while DE's outlook depends on agricultural demand recovery. Hedge fund ownership in both companies has slightly declined.

Industrial Info Resources reports over 75 active U.S. construction equipment manufacturing projects valued at $2 billion. Caterpillar plans a $1 billion investment in North Carolina, while JCB and John Deere are expanding facilities. Infrastructure and data center demand drive growth.

Deere & Company's stock fell 4.3% to $624.59 due to a bearish USDA crop report, which raised corn and soybean yield estimates, potentially reducing farm revenues and machinery investments. The FTC and USDA also launched an inquiry into anticompetitive conduct in the agricultural equipment market. JPMorgan raised its price target to $625 but maintained a Neutral rating. Peers AGCO and CNH Industrial also declined, indicating a sector-wide selloff.

FTC and USDA launched a joint inquiry into agricultural equipment makers, including Deere & Company (DE), CNH Industrial (CNH), and AGCO (AGCO), investigating dealer contracts and fees. Stocks fell 5-6% on the news. Valuation metrics show AGCO as the cheapest, while Deere is priced for perfection. Revenue for all three companies has declined since 2023.

Deere & Co (DE) shares fell 5% after the FTC and USDA launched an investigation into agricultural equipment competition. DE is trading at $657.71, 60.2% above its intrinsic value of $410.47, per GF Value™. Insiders sold $55.9M in the past year, while gurus show mixed activity. DE's GF Score™ is 88, with strong profitability and growth but concerns over valuation and financial strength.

Caterpillar (CAT) shares dropped 6% to $811.70, Deere (DE) fell 4% to $657.95, and PACCAR (PCAR) declined 2% to $106.66 as long-term Treasury yields hit 20-year highs, impacting credit-driven equipment demand. The Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI) fell 2%. CAT announced a $1B investment to expand compact equipment capacity in North Carolina.