Debasement trade to take bitcoin to $300,000 in three years, Bernstein says
Bernstein predicts Bitcoin could reach $300,000 by 2029, citing the debasement trade and U.S. dollar concerns. The firm also notes that Strategy Inc., the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, could benefit from this rally. Strategy's high-yield perpetual preferred stock is mentioned as a potential beneficiary. Bernstein maintains an outperform rating on Strategy, with a lowered price target of $350, implying 176% upside.
How this was made

The 30-second read
Why it matters
The forecast could drive increased allocation to Bitcoin and related securities, affecting market sentiment and price dynamics.
Market read
New aggressive Bitcoin price target and updated rating for Strategy Inc. may influence crypto and equity markets.
What to watch
Potential policy changes, mining cost dynamics, and macro‑economic shifts could limit upside.
Background
Bernstein's note links rising US debt and inflation concerns to a renewed debasement trade, projecting a steep Bitcoin rally.
Ticker impact
Bernstein forecasts Bitcoin could reach $300,000 by 2029, reviving the debasement trade thesis.
Significant upside over the next few years if the thesis holds.
Analyst note provides a new, aggressive price target not previously published.
Bernstein maintains an outperform rating on Strategy Inc. and notes its preferred stock price target at $100.
Potential upside if Bitcoin strength persists and STRC recovers to $100.
Analyst note provides fresh rating and price target for the preferred share.
Market effects
Boosts crypto‑related equities and firms holding Bitcoin.
May influence US and global crypto markets as dollar weakness concerns rise.
High relevance for investors tracking digital assets and inflation hedges.
Counterpoint
Skeptics may view the $300k target as overly optimistic given regulatory and volatility risks.
Key entities
- Analyst FirmBernstein
Provides the price target and market thesis.
- Corporate IssuerStrategy Inc.
Largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, issuer of STRC preferred stock.


