Nvidia unleashes 70% growth bombshell and defends against ‘circular financing’ doomsayers
Nvidia projected fiscal 2028 revenue of $690B-$700B, up 70% from 2027, exceeding analyst estimates. Q2 revenue was $96.2B, up 106% YoY. CEO Jensen Huang cited strong AI demand but noted supply constraints. CFO Colette Kress defended investments in AI partners, calling them low-risk. Gross margin guidance for Q3 is 74%, down slightly from Q2. Nvidia's stock rallied over 4% in after-hours trading.
How this was made

The 30-second read
Why it matters
The guidance reshapes expectations for AI demand and could trigger sector‑wide re‑rating; however, supply chain constraints and large financial guarantees pose downside risks.
Market read
Nvidia's guidance is a market‑moving event for the AI hardware space, likely to affect both equity and credit markets.
What to watch
Rising memory costs and the $108.5 B gross guarantee exposure may limit upside if cost pressures persist.
Background
Nvidia reported Q2 results with 106% YoY revenue growth and $2.22 EPS, then issued a surprise FY2028 guidance of 70% growth, far exceeding consensus.
Ticker impact
Nvidia disclosed a preliminary fiscal 2028 revenue growth forecast of 70% and guidance of $690‑$700 B, far above prior expectations, plus after‑hours stock rally of >4%.
Expect continued bullish momentum; potential for additional 3‑5% intraday gain as investors price in the higher revenue outlook.
Guidance is a primary, material disclosure for a mega‑cap; the magnitude is unprecedented and already moved the stock, indicating strong trader interest.
Market effects
Sets a higher revenue benchmark for the AI‑chip sector, pressuring peers to raise guidance or face valuation gaps.
U.S. tech market likely to see a lift; global AI hardware suppliers may see spill‑over demand.
High, as Nvidia's outlook influences broader AI investment narratives worldwide.
Counterpoint
Supply constraints and massive circular financing exposure could strain margins and increase credit risk, suggesting caution.
Key entities
- ExecutiveJensen Huang
CEO who presented the guidance and highlighted supply constraints.
- ExecutiveColette Kress
CFO who communicated the guidance and discussed circular financing exposure.


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