KOSTER CHRISTOPHER sold $3.8M of CNC

Vice President JD Vance announced 760,000 ACA enrollees were dropped due to fraud, with 400,000 under review. Insurers like Centene, Molina, Elevance, and UnitedHealth saw stock declines. Experts warn of squeezed margins in 2026-2027 due to a less healthy risk pool. Premium rates for 2027 are locked, and insurers may push for higher 2028 rates. Brokers, who drive 75% of sign-ups, face new restrictions and potential reputational damage.

A crackdown on Obamacare by the Trump administration may raise costs for US consumers and insurers. 760,000 enrollees were removed for suspected fraud, with 400,000 under review. This could impact insurers like UnitedHealth and Centene, as a sicker mix of patients may reduce profits. Shares of health insurers fell following the announcement.

The Trump administration plans to remove 750,000 ACA enrollees due to alleged fraud, saving $2.2B. Affected individuals include those unaware of enrollments, high earners, and those with employer-provided healthcare. Leading ACA marketplace operators traded lower on the news.

Centene Corporation (CNC) reaffirmed its 2026 adjusted diluted EPS forecast, expecting it to exceed $4.80, slightly below analyst consensus. The company's P/S ratio is 0.16, below its historical median and industry average, reflecting market skepticism. Its GF Score™ is 72/100, indicating moderate financial health. Insider activity shows no buying and $14.6 million in selling, while institutional sentiment is mixed.

Centene Corp. (CNC) and Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. (ADM) are highlighted for strong performance and attractive valuations. CNC expects 2026 revenues of $173-$177B and adjusted EPS over $4.80, with a forward P/E of 13.58X. ADM raised 2026 adjusted earnings guidance to $5.15-$5.60 per share, with a forward P/E of 16.60X.

Centene (CNC) and Oscar Health (OSCR) shares rose 6% and 12% respectively after Baird reported favorable risk adjustment results. Baird noted the outcomes support Centene's Q4 commentary and align with Oscar's June investor conference remarks. Molina (MOH) shares also rose 2% despite a minor negative impact. The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services released final 2025 risk adjustment data on June 30, affecting insurers' earnings.