Howai: NGC’s earnings could increase with Methanex shutdown

M&G Investment Management Limited reported a 15.30% stake in Methanex (MEOH), owning 11,834,166 shares. The firm acquired the shares believing they were undervalued and plans to engage with management on strategy, potentially increasing its stake or seeking changes to boost shareholder value.

Methanex, a Canadian company and New Zealand's largest gas user, will close its plant and sell its gas contracts due to insufficient supply. The move will impact around 200 employees and the local economy, but the plant may be reactivated if future gas supplies become available. Genesis Energy has secured additional gas supplies, and political parties debate the government's energy policies.

Methanex will sell its New Zealand gas entitlements and indefinitely idle its Taranaki plant by Q1 2027 due to declining gas availability. The company employs 300 people and exports 95% of its methanol production. Genesis Energy secured extra gas supplies through 2029, including 11.4 PJ from a third party and 8.6 PJ from Beach Energy, subject to approval.

Methanex will close its New Zealand plant in 2027, citing unsustainability. The company sold its gas entitlements to Genesis Energy. This decision impacts Methanex's operations and local energy markets.

Methanex (TSX: MX, Nasdaq: MEOH) announced that Natgasoline LLC, a joint venture, priced $290.95M tax-exempt bonds with a 4.75% coupon rate. Proceeds will refinance existing 2018 bonds, extending maturity to 2046. The CFO stated this refinancing strengthens the venture's financial flexibility.

Methanex reported Q2 2026 adjusted EPS of $3.87, below the $3.99 consensus, and revenue of $1.395 billion versus a $1.459 billion forecast. Net income attributable to shareholders was $198 million, reversing a $14 million net loss in Q1. Results were supported by higher realized methanol prices ($529/tonne). Guidance expects July-August realized prices of $460 to $485/tonne.