ASML Fell For a Month Straight: A Prominent Wall Street Ratings Agency Says It Will Return 70% From Today
ASML (NASDAQ:ASML) shares fell 6.17% over the past month to $1,698.30, despite strong Q2 revenue growth and raised 2026 guidance. Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon raised the price target to $2,859, implying 68% upside, citing ASML's monopoly in EUV technology and AI-driven demand. The company's peers, including Applied Materials, Lam Research, and KLA, also saw declines. ASML's consensus price target is $2,157.87, suggesting 27% upside.
How this was made

The 30-second read
Why it matters
The upgraded target may trigger short covering and new long positions, influencing ASML's short-term price action.
Market read
Analyst upgrade highlights potential upside, likely affecting trading decisions in semiconductor equipment space.
What to watch
High valuation multiples may deter some investors despite growth prospects.
Background
ASML's Q2 results showed 21% revenue growth and raised full-year guidance, but the article focuses on a new analyst price target.
Ticker impact
Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon raised ASML price target to $2,859, citing 70% upside from current $1,698.30 price.
Potential price rally toward $2,800 if market follows the new target.
Target increase of ~68% is large relative to consensus, supported by strong Q2 results and AI capex outlook.
Market effects
Boosts sentiment for semiconductor equipment sector, especially EUV tool makers.
European tech stocks may benefit from renewed optimism in ASML.
Potential ripple to AI chip makers reliant on ASML's EUV technology.
Counterpoint
Risk of tighter export controls to China could limit upside.
Key entities
- AnalystStacy Rasgon
Bernstein analyst who raised the price target.



