Michael Burry Says SpaceX Isn't Worth $1 Trillion. Its AI Business Could Prove Him Wrong.
Michael Burry criticized SpaceX's $1.8 trillion valuation, calling its businesses undervalued. Recent AI contracts totaling $3.4 billion monthly may challenge his view. SpaceX's AI division signed deals with Anthropic, Google, and others, but Burry's concerns about profitability and commoditization remain. SpaceX's valuation depends on the success of its AI, space launch, and Starlink businesses.
How this was made

The 30-second read
Why it matters
If the contracts materialize, SpaceX AI revenue could approach $40 billion annually, narrowing the valuation gap.
Market read
New AI contracts represent a material revenue catalyst for SpaceX, potentially influencing its valuation and sector sentiment.
What to watch
Capital intensity of building AI infrastructure and potential over‑build in the sector.
Background
Michael Burry criticized SpaceX's $1 trillion valuation; the company now cites new AI contracts as a counterpoint.
Ticker impact
SpaceX disclosed new AI compute contracts totaling $40.8 billion annually, a fresh primary fact.
Potential upside if market prices in the new revenue stream.
Large, multi‑year deals are material, but short‑term termination clauses add risk.
Market effects
AI compute sector may see renewed interest in satellite‑based services.
U.S. tech investors could re‑evaluate SpaceX valuation.
Large contracts with Anthropic and Google signal broader demand for non‑traditional AI providers.
Counterpoint
Short‑term contract termination risk and ongoing AI losses could keep the stock pressured.
Key entities
- CompanySpaceX
Space exploration and AI compute provider.
- CompanyAnthropic
AI startup paying $1.25 billion per month for compute.
- CompanyGoogle
Alphabet subsidiary paying $920 million per month for compute.





