Kinross shares down more than 10% after lowering gold production forecast

Kinross Gold Corp. shares fell over 10% after lowering its 2026-2027 gold production forecast due to weather and operational issues at La Coipa and Round Mountain mines. The company now expects 1.84-1.86M gold equivalent ounces annually, down 2-3% from prior guidance. Shares traded at $34.60 on the TSX.

Original reporting
Published Sep 24, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Analysis
AlphAI AI DeskAI-generated
Added to AlphAI Sep 24, 2026, 6:34 PM UTC. Informational, not investment advice.
How this was made
AlphAI summarizes source reporting and applies a structured AI analysis for relevance, timing, sentiment and ticker impact. Always verify material claims with the original publisher.
Kinross shares down more than 10% after lowering gold production forecast — source image
Decision brief

The 30-second read

$KGCBearishHigh
01

Why it matters

The guidance cut is a material, first‑report event that triggered an 11% share drop, indicating immediate trading relevance.

02

Market read

The news directly affects Kinross and may influence the broader gold mining sector and related commodities.

03

What to watch

Weather‑related disruptions may be temporary; long‑term reserves remain robust.

Relevance 8/10Novelty 8/10Timing: afternoon trading Thursday

Background

Kinross Gold Corp. announced reduced full‑year production forecasts due to extreme weather at La Coipa (Chile) and lower grades at Round Mountain (Nevada).

Company-level read

Ticker impact

$KGCBearishHigh confidence
Context

Kinross lowered its 2026‑2027 gold production guidance, causing shares to fall >10% in Thursday trading.

Expected impact

Further downside pressure if production shortfall persists.

Evidence & confidence

The new guidance is a primary disclosure with a double‑digit price move for a large‑cap miner.

Market effects

Gold sector may see broader weakness as a major producer cuts output.

Canadian mining stocks could face pressure following Kinross' guidance cut.

Potential impact on global gold supply outlook and related ETFs.

Counterpoint

If lower production leads to tighter supply, gold prices could rise, offsetting the stock decline.

Key entities

  • Kinross Gold Corp.

    Gold mining company listed on NYSE (KGC) and TSX.

Related articles

$KGCMed

BofA Bets On Copper And Uranium As Higher Rates Put Gold Under Pressure

Bank of America analysts favor copper and uranium producers due to supply constraints and demand growth, while higher US interest rates may pressure gold. They downgraded Kinross Gold and Alamos Gold, raised Freeport-McMoRan's price target to $87, and maintained a 'Buy' rating on Cameco with a $133 target. Copper price forecasts were increased, with 2026 average seen at $13,278 a ton and 2027 at $15,250.

$KGCMed

KGC Maintained by UBS -- Price Target Lowered to $28.00

UBS maintained a 'Buy' rating for Kinross Gold (KGC) but lowered its price target to $28.00 from $30.00. KGC is currently 12.7% overvalued with a GF Value of $20.59, though it has a strong GF Score of 94/100. The company has a market cap of $27.52 billion and operates gold mines in the Americas and West Africa.

$KGCHigh

Gold Is High, So Why Did Kinross (KGC) Just Fall 12%?

Kinross Gold (KGC) fell 11.6% to $24.42 on September 24, 2026, despite high gold prices, due to reduced production forecasts for 2026 and 2027. Issues at La Coipa and Round Mountain mines led to lower output and higher costs. Analysts at TD and BMO lowered targets, but all still rate it a Buy with an average target 32% above current price.

$KGCHighAI 8/10

Why Kinross Gold Stock Is Crashing Today

Kinross Gold (KGC) stock fell 12.7% after updating its 2026 guidance, reducing gold-equivalent ounces production to 1.85M from 2M due to weather and lower mining rates. It also raised cost estimates to $1,850-$1,900 per ounce, up from $1,730.

$KGCHighAI 8/10

Kinross Gold shares tumble on weaker La Coipa, Round Mountain outlook

Kinross Gold (TSX:K) shares dropped 13% after cutting 2026-2027 production forecasts due to issues at La Coipa and Round Mountain. Jefferies lowered its price target to $35 but kept a Buy rating, noting deferred ounces and strong performance at Paracatu and Tasiast. Costs rose to $1,420-$1,460 per ounce for sales and $1,850-$1,900 for sustaining costs. Jefferies cited metallurgical and operational challenges at the mines.