$PARR

A Look at Par Pacific Holdings Inc (PARR) After 4.2% Gain -- GF

Par Pacific Holdings Inc (PARR) shares rose 4.2% to $81.62 on September 30, 2026. GuruFocus estimates the stock is significantly overvalued, with a GF Value™ of $43.60. The company has a GF Score™ of 59/100, indicating average performance. Insiders sold $30.6 million in stock over the past year. The P/E ratio is 4.8x, 20% above its 5-year median.

Original reporting
Published Sep 30, 2026, 10:29 PM UTC
Analysis
AlphAI AI DeskAI-generated
Added to AlphAI Oct 1, 2026, 2:15 AM UTC. Informational, not investment advice.
How this was made
AlphAI summarizes source reporting and applies a structured AI analysis for relevance, timing, sentiment and ticker impact. Always verify material claims with the original publisher.
AlphAI market briefMarket movers
Primary signal
$PARR
Bearish
medium confidence
Mentioned
$PARR
Relevance
4/10
AlphAI data visualization · based on gurufocus.com
Decision brief

The 30-second read

$PARRBearishLow
01

Why it matters

The overvaluation assessment and insider sell activity could trigger a pullback, especially for value‑focused traders.

02

Market read

The article highlights a valuation disconnect that may influence short‑term trading decisions on PARR.

03

What to watch

Potential upcoming contracts or operational improvements not covered in the article.

Relevance 4/10Novelty 2/10Timing: today

Background

Par Pacific Holdings provides fuel logistics and storage services; its stock has been volatile with recent price gains.

Company-level read

Ticker impact

$PARRBearishMedium confidence
Context

Par Pacific shares rose 4.2% to $81.62, but GuruFocus flags the stock as significantly overvalued versus its $43.60 fair value.

Expected impact

likely pressure as investors price in valuation gap and insider sell signal

Evidence & confidence

The article provides a fresh valuation mismatch and recent insider sell data, indicating potential correction.

Market effects

Energy services sector may see heightened scrutiny on valuation metrics.

U.S. small-cap energy stocks could face broader sell pressure.

Limited; primarily affects U.S. investors in Par Pacific.

Counterpoint

Some investors may view the price gap as a buying opportunity if fundamentals remain solid.

Key entities

  • Par Pacific Holdings Inc

    U.S.-listed energy services firm (ticker PARR).

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Why is Par Pacific stock surging today?

Par Pacific Holdings Inc. (PARR) surged 6.7% to $82.31 after analysts at Raymond James and J.P. Morgan raised price targets and ratings. The stock had declined from its 52-week high but rebounded due to strong fundamentals and upcoming earnings. Goldman Sachs had previously downgraded the stock to Neutral. Investor attention remains on the company's Q3 2026 results scheduled for November 3.

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Par Pacific Falls About 5% on Day Goldman Sachs Cuts Rating

Par Pacific Holdings (PARR) shares dropped about 5% on Oct. 15 after Goldman Sachs downgraded the stock to Neutral from Buy, while raising its price target to $94. The bank cited a balanced risk-reward outlook and noted that the small refinery exemption catalyst had largely played out. The decline followed an 8% gain on Oct. 13, when the stock reached a 52-week high. For Q2 2026, Par Pacific reported adjusted EBITDA of $571.3 million, with $552.0 million from refining.

$PARRMed

Par Pacific Holdings (PARR) Shares Drop 6% After Goldman Sachs D

Par Pacific Holdings (PARR) shares fell 6% after Goldman Sachs downgraded it from Buy to Neutral with a $94 price target, citing tempered growth outlook. The stock trades at $83.16, 86% above its intrinsic value estimate of $44.72. Insider activity shows sustained selling, with $30.6M in shares sold over the past year. The company's GF Score is 56/100, indicating moderate overall quality with strengths in financial health and profitability.

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Goldman Sachs downgrades Par Pacific stock rating to neutral

Goldman Sachs downgraded Par Pacific (NYSE:PARR) to Neutral, raising its price target to $94. The firm cited balanced risk/reward and market appreciation of the company's refining value. Goldman also raised estimates for Par Pacific but noted potential downside from freight rate headwinds. The firm prefers Delek US (NYSE:DK) for small/mid-cap refining exposure, highlighting its strong performance and value.

$PARRMed

PARR Stock Draws Bullish Targets As Leadership Shifts

Par Pacific Holdings Inc. (NYSE: PARR) shares rose 10.24% on October 13, 2026, driven by bullish sentiment on refining margins. The company reported $7.46B in revenue, with strong profitability metrics. Raymond James raised its price target to $104, while TD Cowen lowered its target to $90 but maintained a Buy rating. Mizuho downgraded the stock to Neutral with a $91 target. PARR also announced a leadership change in refining and logistics.