Bitcoin headed 'in bullish direction' as investors bet on Fed pause: Chart of the Day

Bitcoin (BTC) rose to near $85,000 on Friday, with strategists citing bullish trends. Fundstrat's Sean Farrell noted October's historical strength for crypto. A weak jobs report reduced Fed rate hike expectations, boosting risk assets. Citi's Alex Saunders raised his BTC price target to $113,000. Potential stress in bonds and credit could cause short-term drawdowns.

Original reporting
Published Oct 3, 2026, 12:06 PM UTC
Analysis
AlphAI AI DeskAI-generated
Added to AlphAI Oct 3, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC. Informational, not investment advice.
How this was made
AlphAI summarizes source reporting and applies a structured AI analysis for relevance, timing, sentiment and ticker impact. Always verify material claims with the original publisher.
Bitcoin headed 'in bullish direction' as investors bet on Fed pause: Chart of the Day — source image
Decision brief

The 30-second read

$BTC-USDBullishMed
01

Why it matters

The price target increase reinforces a bullish bias for Bitcoin in the near term.

02

Market read

A fresh analyst target lift adds new bullish impetus to Bitcoin, potentially influencing crypto market sentiment.

03

What to watch

Potential regulatory headwinds or macro‑economic stress in sovereign bonds could limit upside.

Relevance 7/10Novelty 7/10Timing: today

Background

Bitcoin hovered near $85,000, with seasonal trends and Fed rate expectations supporting a bullish view.

Company-level read

Ticker impact

$BTC-USDBullishHigh confidence
Context

Citi analyst Alex Saunders raised the base-case price forecast for Bitcoin to $113,000 from $82,000, indicating a fresh bullish outlook.

Expected impact

upward pressure as traders price in the higher target.

Evidence & confidence

The new target is a primary disclosure and materially raises expectations, likely prompting buying interest.

Market effects

Positive sentiment may spill into other major cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum.

US and global crypto markets could see modest inflows on the news.

Bitcoin's move influences broader risk‑asset sentiment worldwide.

Counterpoint

Some traders may view the target raise as already priced in and could be cautious of a pullback.

Key entities

  • Citi

    Analyst firm providing the new Bitcoin price forecast.

  • Fundstrat

    Provided market commentary on Bitcoin's seasonal tailwinds.

Related articles

$BTC-USDMed

Bitcoin Funds Took In $2.5 Billion as the 10-Year Yield Hit 5.31%. Is Bitcoin Ignoring the Bond Market?

Bitcoin funds saw $2.52B inflows in the week ending Sept. 29, 2026, the largest weekly inflow of the year, according to CoinShares. This occurred as the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.31%, its highest since 2002. Bitcoin gained 10% in September, despite rising yields, but has fallen 30% over the past year. The relationship between Bitcoin and bond yields remains uncertain.

$BLKMedAI 8/10

BlackRock Bitcoin ETF Flashes Golden Cross As SEC Approves Triple-Leveraged Bitcoin, Ethereum ETPs

BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) showed a golden cross, with its 50-day SMA crossing above the 200-day SMA. The SEC approved a rule change for triple-leveraged Bitcoin and Ethereum ETPs. IBIT had $195.57 million in inflows on Oct. 1, contributing to $102.67 million in total net inflows for US spot Bitcoin ETFs. The SEC's approval allows Volatility Shares to list six leveraged products, including Bitcoin and Ethereum funds.

$XRP-USDLowAI 8/10

Bitget Hack Update: XRP, Bitcoin, and North Korean Link

Chainalysis attributed the $387 million Bitget hack to North Korean actors, bringing their 2026 crypto thefts to over $1 billion. Hackers converted stolen XRP to Bitcoin using cross-chain swaps. Bitget's CEO had previously cited IP evidence linking the attack to DPRK. The hack ranks as the largest in 2026, increasing September losses by 462%. Chainalysis used AI to trace the funds quickly.

$COINMed

Clarity Act 2026: Crypto Spent $8M and Still Lost 49-50 - Memeburn

The crypto industry spent $8M lobbying for the Clarity Act 2026, which aimed to clarify crypto regulations in the US. The bill failed in the Senate 49-50, with key Democrats and Republicans opposing it. Markets reacted negatively, with Bitcoin and crypto-related stocks dropping. The failure was attributed to ethical concerns and banking opposition. The industry is now shifting to political spending and relying on regulators for clarity.