BlackBerry (BB) Lost the Smartphone War. Is QNX Winning Big Enough to Justify the Price?
BlackBerry (BB) is pivoting from smartphones to software, with QNX automotive division driving growth. QNX revenue grew 27% YoY to $80.3M in Q2, with adjusted EBITDA up 41%. BlackBerry expects QNX to generate $315M-$325M in FY2027 revenue, but valuation depends on sustained growth. Hedge funds increased stakes, while short interest rose slightly to 6.4%.
How this was made

The 30-second read
Why it matters
The article underscores valuation reliance on QNX, suggesting investors may reassess risk.
Market read
Provides a deep dive into BlackBerry's valuation risks, useful for investors monitoring BB.
What to watch
Potential competitive pressure from other automotive OS providers and macro demand for vehicles.
Background
BlackBerry has transitioned from smartphones to software, with QNX now its primary growth engine.
Ticker impact
The article analyzes BlackBerry's QNX automotive software growth, valuation assumptions and hedge fund ownership, highlighting valuation risk.
likely downside pressure as market prices in valuation risk
The piece emphasizes that current price assumes aggressive QNX growth; without new catalysts, investors may be cautious.
Market effects
Highlights automotive software sector growth but no immediate sector-wide catalyst.
US-focused, limited broader regional effect.
Limited to investors tracking BlackBerry and automotive software trends.
Counterpoint
If QNX fails to meet aggressive forecasts, BB could see a sharp correction.
Key entities
- companyBlackBerry Limited
US-listed software company (ticker BB).





