$PBF

UBS raises PBF Energy stock price target to $99 on higher cracks

UBS raised its PBF Energy (NYSE:PBF) price target to $99 from $84, citing higher cracks and increased Q3 2026 EPS estimates to $11.22. The stock trades near its 52-week high at $81.67, up 172% over the past year. UBS expects strong EBITDA and free cash flow for Q3 2026. PBF issued $550M in 0% exchangeable notes for corporate purposes.

Original reporting
Published Oct 5, 2026, 2:16 PM UTC
Analysis
AlphAI AI DeskAI-generated
Added to AlphAI Oct 5, 2026, 2:39 PM UTC. Informational, not investment advice.
How this was made
AlphAI summarizes source reporting and applies a structured AI analysis for relevance, timing, sentiment and ticker impact. Always verify material claims with the original publisher.
AlphAI market briefFinancial news
Primary signal
$PBF
Bullish
high confidence
Mentioned
$PBF
Relevance
7/10
AlphAI data visualization · based on investing.com
Decision brief

The 30-second read

$PBFBullishHigh
01

Why it matters

The upgrade provides a fresh catalyst that could drive short-term buying pressure on PBF.

02

Market read

The new target and earnings outlook may prompt traders to add to PBF positions, with possible spillover to the refining sector.

03

What to watch

Potential regulatory or environmental constraints on refining capacity could limit upside.

Relevance 7/10Novelty 7/10Timing: today

Background

UBS issued a new research note raising its price target and earnings forecast for PBF Energy amid higher crack spreads.

Company-level read

Ticker impact

$PBFBullishHigh confidence
Context

UBS raised its price target on PBF Energy to $99 and lifted its Q3 2026 EPS estimate to $11.22, citing higher cracks.

Expected impact

likely upward pressure as investors price in the higher target and earnings outlook

Evidence & confidence

The new target and EPS lift are fresh information not previously reported, providing a clear catalyst for buying interest.

Market effects

Higher cracks may benefit the broader refining sector, supporting peers with similar cost structures.

U.S. energy stocks could see modest gains as the upgrade signals improving margins.

Limited to North American refiners; no immediate global macro effect.

Counterpoint

If oil margins soften later, the upgraded target could be overstated, leading to a pullback.

Key entities

  • UBS

    Equity research firm providing the upgraded target and earnings estimate.

  • PBF Energy

    U.S. refining company whose stock is the subject of the upgrade.

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