$PKG

PKG Maintained by UBS -- Price Target Lowered to $289

UBS maintained a 'Buy' rating for Packaging Corp of America (PKG) but lowered its price target from $292.00 to $289.00. The stock is currently trading at $229.31, with a GF Value™ of $233.49, indicating it is 1.8% undervalued. PKG has a strong GF Score™ of 91/100, reflecting robust performance in growth and momentum, but a lower financial strength rank of 6/10. Insider activity shows significant sales over the last three months.

Original reporting
Published Oct 5, 2026, 9:06 PM UTC
Analysis
AlphAI AI DeskAI-generated
Added to AlphAI Oct 5, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC. Informational, not investment advice.
How this was made
AlphAI summarizes source reporting and applies a structured AI analysis for relevance, timing, sentiment and ticker impact. Always verify material claims with the original publisher.
AlphAI market briefFinancial news
Primary signal
$PKG
Bearish
medium confidence
Mentioned
$PKG
Relevance
6/10
AlphAI data visualization · based on gurufocus.com
Decision brief

The 30-second read

$PKGBearishLow
01

Why it matters

The analyst's slight target reduction may prompt short‑term traders to trim positions, while long‑term investors may view the stock as still undervalued per GF metrics.

02

Market read

A modest analyst target cut provides limited trading impetus; relevance is low to medium.

03

What to watch

Insider selling of $10M in the past three months could indicate concerns not reflected in the modest target change.

Relevance 6/10Novelty 6/10Timing: today

Background

Packaging Corp of America (PKG) is a leading U.S. producer of containerboard and corrugated packaging, with a market cap of ~ $20B.

Company-level read

Ticker impact

$PKGBearishMedium confidence
Context

UBS kept a Buy rating on Packaging Corp of America but lowered its price target from $292 to $289.

Expected impact

likely slight downward pressure as the market prices in the lower target.

Evidence & confidence

A 1% target reduction is modest but signals reduced upside, which may prompt short‑term sellers.

Market effects

Minor impact on the packaging sector; peers may see similar modest target revisions.

Limited to U.S. investors focused on consumer cyclical stocks.

Low; the news is company‑specific.

Counterpoint

The target cut is small and may be an overreaction; the stock could still be undervalued given its GF Score.

Key entities

  • UBS

    Maintained Buy rating, lowered price target to $289.

Related articles

$AVYMed

Q2 Earnings Review: Industrial Packaging Stocks Led by Avery Dennison (NYSE:AVY)

Packaging Corporation of America (PCA) reported Q2 revenue of $2.49B, up 14.7% YoY, but missed EPS estimates. International Paper (IP) reported $6.00B revenue, down 11.3% YoY, missing expectations. Silgan Holdings (SLGN) reported $1.64B revenue, up 6.8% YoY, beating estimates. PCA and SLGN stocks are up 1.9% and down 19.7% since reporting, respectively. IP stock is down 18.1% since reporting.

$PKGMed

PKG Jumps As Packaging Corporation Hikes Prices After Q2 Beat

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) shares rose about 8.76% after Q2 results and a demand outlook. The company reported Q2 EPS ex-items of $2.35 vs $2.31 expected on $2.49B revenue, with record corrugated shipments. Management guided Q3 EPS ex-items to $2.91 and cited pricing actions including a $140/ton increase.

$PKGHighAI 9/10

Packaging Corporation of America Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

Packaging Corporation of America (NYSE: PKG) reported Q2 EBITDA excluding special items of $489 million on $2.3 billion packaging sales, and $39 million on $157 million paper sales. PCA said Greif acquisition contribution was $0.14 per share, above expectations, and guided Q3 earnings of $2.91 per share excluding special items. Cash flow was $376 million operating and $170 million free cash flow.

$PKGHighAI 9/10

Packaging Corporation of America Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results

Packaging Corporation of America (NYSE: PKG) reported Q2 2026 net income of $192 million, or $2.15 per share, excluding special items, versus $210 million, or $2.35 per share, in Q2 2025. Net sales were $2.5 billion in Q2 2026 versus $2.2 billion in Q2 2025. Company guided Q3 2026 earnings of $2.91 per share excluding special items.

$PKGMed

PACKAGING CORPORATION OF AMERICA REPORTS SECOND QUARTER 2026 RESULTS

PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA (PKG) filed an SEC Form 8-K — Results of Operations and Financial Condition. EX-99.1 2 pkg-ex99_1.htm EX-99.1 EX-99.1 Exhibit 99.1 PACKAGING CORPORATION OF AMERICA REPORTS SECOND QUARTER 2026 RESULTS Lake Forest, IL, July 22, 2026 – Packaging Corporation of America (NYSE: PKG) today reported second quarter 2026 net income of $192 million, or $2.15 per sha