TSM Stock $430: Q3 EPS $4.60, Q4 Guide Up to $54.3B
TSMC reported Q3 2026 revenue of US$46.72B, up 41.2% YoY, beating guidance. Net income rose 68.7% YoY to NT$763.06B. Q4 guidance is US$52.3-54.3B revenue with gross margins 65-67%. TSM stock closed at $430.00, down 3.4%, and traded near $422.55 after hours.
How this was made

The 30-second read
Why it matters
Earnings beat and raised guidance suggest continued demand for AI chips, likely lifting TSMC and related semiconductor stocks.
Market read
The earnings release is a primary market mover for the semiconductor sector and AI supply chain.
What to watch
Potential US‑China trade measures and execution risk of 2nm capacity expansion.
Background
TSMC reported Q3 2026 results, beating revenue and profit estimates and raising Q4 guidance.
Ticker impact
Q3 earnings beat expectations and Q4 guidance raised, indicating strong performance and upside potential.
upward pressure as market prices in stronger-than-expected earnings and guidance
Revenue and EPS beat, margins in upper guidance range, and Q4 revenue outlook above prior range drive bullish sentiment.
Market effects
Boosts semiconductor sector and AI‑related stocks as TSMC is a key foundry for Nvidia, AMD and Broadcom.
Supports Asian equity markets, especially Taiwan and broader tech indices.
Reinforces global AI supply‑chain optimism, influencing worldwide tech valuations.
Counterpoint
If margin pressure from 2nm ramp and overseas fab costs materialize, upside could be limited.
Key entities
- companyTSMC
World's largest contract chipmaker, ticker TSM.
- companyNvidia
Designs AI chips fabricated by TSMC.
- companyAMD
Designs AI chips fabricated by TSMC.



