Key facts: TSMC (2330) Q3 record profit; $98B capex to 2028
TSMC (2330) reported Q3 revenue of $46.7B, up 16.2% QoQ, with net profit rising 69% YoY. Advanced nodes (2nm, 3nm) accounted for 41% of wafer mix. Morningstar forecasts $98B capex by 2028. Barclays raised price target to $670. Shares fell 1.7% on October 16.
How this was made

The 30-second read
Why it matters
Earnings beat and aggressive capex signal continued leadership in advanced nodes, but immediate share dip suggests profit‑taking.
Market read
Earnings and capex news are material for semiconductor investors and may influence sector sentiment.
What to watch
Long‑term capex commitments and new 1.4nm node could drive earnings growth beyond the current quarter.
Background
TSMC posted Q3 revenue of $46.7B, net profit up 69% YoY, and announced a $98B capex plan through 2028.
Ticker impact
TSMC reported Q3 record profit and raised capex forecast to $98B, with shares down 1.7% on the news.
likely modest downside as investors take profits after the earnings surprise.
The earnings numbers are new and material, but the immediate price reaction was negative, suggesting profit‑taking.
Market effects
Strong AI demand and capex expansion reinforce bullish outlook for the semiconductor sector.
Positive for Taiwan and US fab‑related stocks as TSMC expands capacity in both regions.
Reinforces global AI supply‑chain dynamics, supporting broader tech market sentiment.
Counterpoint
Despite record profit, the stock may be undervalued if the market overreacts to short‑term profit‑taking.
Key entities
- CompanyTSMC
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., the world's leading contract chipmaker.




