Cleveland-Cliffs forecasts 2027 adjusted EBITDA above $4B after strongest quarter in three years
Cleveland-Cliffs (NYSE:CLF) forecasts 2027 adjusted EBITDA above $4B, citing improved steel prices and performance. Q3 EBITDA was $612M, up $326M from Q2. Revenue rose to $5.6B, with net income of $165M. The company expects Q4 EBITDA around $715M and aims to reduce net debt to less than 2.5x EBITDA by mid-2027.
How this was made

The 30-second read
Why it matters
The guidance lift and earnings beat suggest a re‑rating of the company's valuation.
Market read
New guidance and earnings beat drive immediate price action and may influence sector sentiment.
What to watch
Potential impact of idle galvanising lines and future commodity price volatility.
Background
Cleveland-Cliffs posted its strongest quarter in three years, with higher steel prices and improved operating performance.
Ticker impact
Cleveland-Cliffs reported a strong Q3 with adjusted EBITDA of $612M and raised its 2027 EBITDA guidance to over $4B, driving a 13% pre‑market share jump.
upward pressure as investors price in stronger earnings and higher future EBITDA.
The new guidance exceeds prior expectations and is accompanied by a sizable intraday rally, indicating fresh buying interest.
Market effects
Improved outlook for US steel may benefit peers and related mining/industrial equipment firms.
Positive for North American steel producers and suppliers.
Limited to steel sector; no broad macro impact.
Counterpoint
Higher guidance could be offset by rising input costs or slower demand, warranting caution.
Key entities
- ExecutiveLourenco Goncalves
CEO of Cleveland-Cliffs who highlighted the strong quarter and outlook.



