$ARLP

StoneX reiterates Buy on Alliance Resource Partners stock

StoneX reiterated a Buy rating and $29.00 price target for Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP). ARLP reported Q3 adjusted EBITDA of $234M, beating StoneX's estimate of $210M. The company expects higher coal demand from data centers and increased oil and gas royalties. ARLP's Q3 2026 earnings of $1.08 per unit and revenue of $603M exceeded expectations, with net income up 46.8% YoY.

Original reporting
Published Oct 27, 2026, 2:50 PM UTC
Analysis
AlphAI AI DeskAI-generated
Added to AlphAI Oct 27, 2026, 3:17 PM UTC. Informational, not investment advice.
How this was made
AlphAI summarizes source reporting and applies a structured AI analysis for relevance, timing, sentiment and ticker impact. Always verify material claims with the original publisher.
AlphAI market briefEarnings
Primary signal
$ARLP
Bullish
high confidence
Mentioned
$ARLP
Relevance
8/10
AlphAI data visualization · based on investing.com
Decision brief

The 30-second read

$ARLPBullishHigh
01

Why it matters

The earnings beat and raised guidance support a higher valuation, but long‑term exposure to coal may attract scrutiny.

02

Market read

ARLP's earnings beat could trigger a short‑term rally, while sector peers may be re‑priced based on commodity exposure.

03

What to watch

Potential regulatory or environmental headwinds on coal shipments could affect future volumes.

Relevance 8/10Novelty 8/10Timing: post-market today

Background

StoneX's analyst report follows ARLP's Q3 2026 earnings release, highlighting stronger-than-expected coal shipments and a new multi‑year contract.

Company-level read

Ticker impact

$ARLPBullishHigh confidence
Context

StoneX maintains a Buy rating and raises price target to $29 after ARLP reports Q3 earnings that beat estimates.

Expected impact

likely upward pressure as the market prices in the earnings beat and higher target.

Evidence & confidence

Quarterly adjusted EBITDA of $234M exceeded $210M estimate; EPS $1.08 vs $0.85 forecast; dividend yield 9.09% and strong coal volume outlook.

Market effects

Higher coal and oil & gas royalty earnings may lift energy sector sentiment.

U.S. energy stocks could see modest gains.

Limited to investors tracking commodity‑linked royalty firms.

Counterpoint

Rising ESG concerns could pressure coal‑focused royalty stocks despite short‑term earnings beat.

Key entities

  • StoneX

    Equity research firm that issued the Buy rating and price target.

  • Alliance Resource Partners

    U.S. listed royalty and coal mining firm (NASDAQ:ARLP).

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Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP) reported Q3 2026 earnings with total revenues up 5.5% YoY to $603M, net income up 46.8% to $140M, and adjusted EBITDA up 26.3% to $234M. Coal sales volumes increased 7.4% YoY, with segment EBITDA up 18.6%. Oil and gas royalties set records, with revenues up 61.3% YoY. The company updated 2026 guidance, tightening ranges for coal and oil/gas segments. Debt stood at $680M, with liquidity at $431M and 673 Bitcoins valued at $56.3M.

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What Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP) reported Q3 coal sales volumes of 9.3M tons, up 7.4% YoY. Adjusted EBITDA rose 18.6% to $186.8M. Illinois Basin volumes increased 6.4% YoY, while Appalachia saw a 10.7% rise. ARLP announced a new Mettiki coal supply agreement, expecting higher 2027 production. Royalty revenue surged 52.5% YoY to $87.5M. Free cash flow was $198.6M, with distribution coverage at 1.76x. ARLP tightened 2026 coal guidance, expecting 34.5M-35.5M tons sold.