UPS CEO says delivery company will make more money on slightly fewer holiday deliveries
UPS raised its annual revenue and profit forecasts after Q3 earnings beat estimates, driven by a focus on more profitable deliveries. CEO Carol Tome expects lower holiday volume but higher revenue. UPS anticipates a 1.3% drop in Q4 volume, a 3% rise in domestic revenue, and a 7% increase in international revenue. Q3 adjusted profit was $1.69 per share, above estimates. UPS shares rose nearly 3% in early trading.
How this was made

The 30-second read
Why it matters
The guidance lift and margin improvement are likely to drive short‑term buying interest, especially as the stock already rose ~3% in early trading.
Market read
First‑report earnings guidance lift for a large‑cap logistics firm, with immediate price reaction.
What to watch
The reduction in Amazon volume may expose UPS to revenue volatility if Amazon shifts to other providers.
Background
UPS announced a strategic shift to cut low‑margin Amazon deliveries, raising its 2026 revenue forecast to $92.6 bn and adjusted EPS to $7.28, up from $7.22.
Ticker impact
UPS raised its 2026 revenue and profit forecasts, citing reduced unprofitable Amazon deliveries and expects 3% revenue growth domestically and 7% internationally.
likely upward pressure as the market prices in the improved guidance and margin outlook
The guidance increase is a fresh, material disclosure for a large-cap carrier; analysts already note stronger execution, and the stock jumped ~3% on the news.
Market effects
May prompt other parcel carriers to reassess volume‑vs‑margin strategies, potentially boosting sector sentiment.
U.S. logistics and transportation stocks could see short‑term upside.
International carriers may face pressure to improve margins similarly.
Counterpoint
Higher guidance could be offset by lower volume and potential competitive pressure from FedEx.
Key entities
- ExecutiveCarol Tome
UPS CEO who outlined the new strategy.
- ExecutiveBrian Dykes
UPS CFO who highlighted margin benefits.



