$STX

UBS cuts Seagate stock price target on multiple concerns to $750

UBS reduced its price target for Seagate (STX) to $750 from $780, citing concerns about Exabyte shipments and valuation. The firm expects pricing trends to continue but believes multiples for hard disk drive stocks will compress. Seagate's Q1 earnings beat expectations, with revenue of $4.2B and EPS of $7.68. Other analysts have mixed views, with some raising targets to $1,350. STX is up 201% over the past year.

Original reporting
Published Oct 28, 2026, 11:04 AM UTC
Analysis
AlphAI AI DeskAI-generated
Added to AlphAI Oct 28, 2026, 11:21 AM UTC. Informational, not investment advice.
How this was made
AlphAI summarizes source reporting and applies a structured AI analysis for relevance, timing, sentiment and ticker impact. Always verify material claims with the original publisher.
AlphAI market briefFinancial news
Primary signal
$STX
Bearish
high confidence
Mentioned
$STX
Relevance
7/10
AlphAI data visualization · based on investing.com
Decision brief

The 30-second read

$STXBearishMed
01

Why it matters

Despite the earnings beat, UBS's target cut may dominate short‑term price action.

02

Market read

Analyst downgrade introduces new downside risk despite earnings beat.

03

What to watch

Potential upside from Western Digital's HAMR transition could improve industry supply dynamics.

Relevance 7/10Novelty 7/10Timing: after-hours reaction

Background

Seagate reported a fiscal Q1 beat with EPS $7.68 vs $7.39 expected and revenue $4.2B vs $4.13B.

Company-level read

Ticker impact

$STXBearishHigh confidence
Context

UBS lowered its price target for Seagate Technology to $750 from $780 and cut its 2028 earnings forecast.

Expected impact

likely pressure as investors price in the lower valuation multiple.

Evidence & confidence

Target reduction and earnings forecast downgrade are fresh analyst actions that typically move the stock lower.

Market effects

Hard‑disk drive sector may see broader valuation pressure as UBS expects multiple compression versus DRAM.

U.S. technology stocks could face slight pullback amid analyst downgrades.

Limited to storage hardware segment; no immediate global macro effect.

Counterpoint

Some analysts still see upside, citing strong pricing power and exabyte shipment growth.

Key entities

  • Seagate Technology

    Hard‑disk drive manufacturer (NASDAQ:STX).

  • UBS

    Investment bank providing the price target revision.

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Key facts: Seagate (STX) Q1: $4.23B Revenue; HAMR, Dividend Hike

Seagate (STX) reported Q1 revenue of $4.23B, up 61% YoY, with GAAP EPS of $7.59 and non-GAAP EPS of $7.68. The company raised its dividend to $0.76 and guided Q2 revenue to ~$4.8B. Seagate highlighted HAMR technology for increased data density and cloud storage demand. Analysts noted potential margin improvements and supply constraints. CEO Dave Mosley expects multi-year growth due to rising storage demand. Rosenblatt reaffirmed a Buy rating with a $1,100 target.