$HOOD

Robinhood Q3 Revenue Hits $1.42B as Prediction Markets Surge 6X, Crypto Revenue Crashes 55%

Robinhood reported Q3 revenue of $1.424B, up 12% YoY, driven by a 6X surge in prediction-market revenue to $173M. Crypto revenue fell 55% to $120M. Options and equities trading also grew, but net income declined 14% to $476M.

Original reporting
Published Oct 28, 2026, 1:12 PM UTC
Analysis
AlphAI AI DeskAI-generated
Added to AlphAI Oct 28, 2026, 1:32 PM UTC. Informational, not investment advice.
How this was made
AlphAI summarizes source reporting and applies a structured AI analysis for relevance, timing, sentiment and ticker impact. Always verify material claims with the original publisher.
Robinhood Q3 Revenue Hits $1.42B as Prediction Markets Surge 6X, Crypto Revenue Crashes 55% — source image
Decision brief

The 30-second read

$HOODNeutralHigh
01

Why it matters

The earnings mix shift may prompt investors to re‑evaluate the company's exposure to volatile crypto markets versus the emerging prediction‑market segment.

02

Market read

Earnings release provides fresh data on revenue composition, influencing both the brokerage sector and crypto‑related stocks.

03

What to watch

Potential regulatory scrutiny on crypto trading and the sustainability of event‑contract volume growth.

Relevance 9/10Novelty 9/10Timing: after‑hours release

Background

Robinhood Markets Inc. (HOOD) released its Q3 2026 earnings, showing record total revenue but a steep decline in crypto‑related revenue.

Company-level read

Ticker impact

$HOODNeutralHigh confidence
Context

Robinhood reported Q3 revenue of $1.424 B, with prediction‑market revenue up 6× to $173 M and crypto revenue down 55% to $120 M.

Expected impact

likely modest pressure as the market prices in the crypto revenue slump despite record total revenue

Evidence & confidence

The earnings beat on total revenue is sizable, but the 55% crypto revenue drop and unrealized losses could weigh on the stock.

Market effects

Highlights a shift in brokerage revenue mix toward prediction markets and away from crypto, relevant for fintech and crypto‑exposed platforms.

U.S. retail brokerage sector may see re‑rating as crypto exposure is reassessed.

Signals broader investor appetite for event‑contract products, potentially influencing global fintech trends.

Counterpoint

The crypto revenue collapse could be a temporary blip; the surge in prediction‑market activity may signal a new growth engine.

Key entities

  • Robinhood Markets Inc.

    U.S.-listed brokerage platform (ticker HOOD).

Related articles

$HOODMedAI 8/10

Robinhood Sinks 7% as Crypto Slump and Tighter Spreads Overshadow Record Prediction Markets Quarter; Interactive Brokers Edges Higher, Webull Barely Budges

Robinhood (HOOD) stock fell 7% after Q3 2026 results showed revenue up 12% YoY to $1.42B, missing estimates. EPS declined YoY to $0.51, but adjusted EPS beat at $0.60. Crypto revenue dropped 55% YoY to $120M, while net interest revenue fell 9% to $415M. Prediction markets revenue hit a record $173M, offsetting some weaknesses. Interactive Brokers (IBKR) rose 2%, Webull (BULL) up 0.2%.

$HOODHigh

Robinhood Stock Falls 5% Following Average Revenue Per User Miss

Robinhood (HOOD) shares fell 5% in premarket trading after Q3 earnings missed estimates. EPS was $0.51 vs. $0.55 expected, while revenue of $1.42B matched estimates. Crypto revenue dropped 55% to $120M, though options and equities revenue rose. Adjusted EBITDA hit a record $808M, up 9%. Management highlighted net deposits of $16B and 5M Robinhood Gold subscribers.

$HOODMed

Needham cuts Robinhood stock price target on lower trading activity

Needham reduced its price target for Robinhood (HOOD) to $116 from $126, citing lower trading activity. HOOD reported Q3 2026 revenue of $1.4B, missing estimates, and EPS of $0.60, beating estimates. October trading volumes are down 5% from Q3 average. Analysts have mixed reactions, with some lowering targets due to margin concerns and others maintaining buy ratings.

$ENPHMedAI 8/10

Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Ultralife, SK Hynix, Robinhood, Enphase Energy & more

Ultralife shares surged 144% after EnerSys agreed to acquire it for $16 per share, valuing the deal at $320M. Enphase Energy fell 18% due to a revenue decline. PPG Industries rose 6% on record earnings and raised guidance. Robinhood dropped 7% as profit missed expectations. SK Hynix gained 7% on record results. Logitech fell 11% on mixed earnings. Vertiv rallied 16% on strong results and guidance. GE Vernova rose 1% after a $9B acquisition and raised its revenue forecast.