Tilray’s beverage business poised for volume growth as Carlsberg deal date nears, says Jefferies
Tilray (TLRY) is set to benefit from a partnership with Carlsberg, starting in 2027, which could increase its beverage volumes by 8% to 10%. Jefferies raised its price target to $13 from $12, citing improved capital returns and efficiency gains. Tilray aims for $20M in annual savings by 2028 and reaffirmed its FY2027 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $68M-$75M.
How this was made

The 30-second read
Why it matters
The analyst upgrade reflects confidence in the partnership's ability to add 8‑10% volume and generate $20 M in annual cost savings.
Market read
New analyst target and partnership details provide fresh catalyst for Tilray's stock, suggesting near‑term upside.
What to watch
Potential inventory write‑downs or restructuring costs could offset anticipated savings.
Background
Tilray, primarily a cannabis producer, is expanding its beverage business through a partnership with Carlsberg to brew and distribute beer in the U.S.
Ticker impact
Jefferies raised Tilray's price target to $13, citing the upcoming Carlsberg partnership and expected volume boost.
likely upward pressure as the market prices in higher utilization and volume growth.
The new target reflects expected incremental revenue and cost savings, which can attract buyers.
Market effects
May boost the cannabis‑linked beverage niche and signal further partnerships in the sector.
U.S. beverage market could see modest volume increase from Carlsberg products.
Highlights cross‑industry collaborations between cannabis and mainstream alcohol brands.
Counterpoint
If volume growth falls short, the higher target may be premature and could lead to disappointment.
Key entities
- companyTilray Inc
US‑listed cannabis and beverage producer (NASDAQ:TLRY).
- companyCarlsberg
Global brewer entering a partnership with Tilray.
