‘Marking Their Calendar Until November 3rd.’ Tom Lee Says Investors Waiting To Buy The Dip After The Nasdaq 100’s Worst Month Since March 2025
Fundstrat's Tom Lee stated investors may wait until after the November 3rd midterm elections to buy dips. The Nasdaq-100 had its worst month since March 2025, with the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) falling 6.66%. Intel (INTC) dropped 28.58% due to weak guidance, impacting QQQ. Lee noted institutional hesitation until post-election clarity.
How this was made

The 30-second read
Why it matters
Intel’s earnings and guidance drive immediate downside, while the broader market may stay muted until post‑election sentiment clarifies.
Market read
Intel’s earnings miss and guidance cut pressure tech ETFs; broader market sentiment is cautious ahead of the Nov 3 election.
What to watch
The impact of the Israel factory incident may be temporary; core data‑center revenue still grew 78%.
Background
Fundstrat’s Tom Lee suggests investors are waiting for the U.S. midterm election on Nov 3 before committing new capital, highlighting a broader market hesitation.
Ticker impact
Intel reported Q3 earnings beating estimates but cut Q4 guidance, driving a 3.47% drop in QQQ and pressuring the Nasdaq-100.
likely pressure as the market prices in lower revenue outlook
Guidance below expectations and a disclosed $300M revenue hit from an Israel factory incident directly affect earnings outlook.
Market effects
Tech sector and AI‑related stocks may see broader weakness as Intel's guidance signals slower demand.
U.S. markets likely open lower on the back of the earnings surprise.
Potential ripple effect on global semiconductor supply chains and AI investment sentiment.
Counterpoint
If the market overreacts to the guidance cut, a short‑term rebound could occur on any positive AI demand news.
Key entities
- AnalystTom Lee
Fundstrat managing partner commenting on investor timing.
- CompanyIntel
Reported Q3 earnings with guidance cut.



