American Express vs. PayPal: Which Stock Does Wall Street Expect to Grow Faster Through 2027?
Analysts project American Express's EPS to grow 31% from 2025 to 2027, outpacing PayPal's 11% growth. American Express trades at 17x forward earnings, near its 5-year average, while PayPal's growth is driven by share buybacks. Both companies recently raised their 2026 outlooks, with American Express reporting record Q3 revenue and PayPal missing revenue expectations but raising its EPS forecast.
How this was made
The 30-second read
Why it matters
Both companies posted earnings; AXP showed stronger EPS growth expectations, while PYPL's outlook is modest and buyback‑centric.
Market read
Guidance updates may influence investor allocation between the two payment giants.
What to watch
Potential regulatory scrutiny on fintech fees and macro‑economic pressure on consumer spending.
Background
The article compares American Express and PayPal based on recent earnings releases and updated guidance for 2026‑2027.
Ticker impact
American Express raised its FY2026 EPS guidance to $17.60‑$17.90 and is projected to grow EPS 31% through 2027.
likely upside as investors price in higher growth expectations
Higher forward P/E is justified by faster EPS growth, supporting a bullish stance.
PayPal lifted its 2026 EPS outlook to $5.60 and expects modest 11% EPS growth through 2027, driven mainly by share buybacks.
limited upside; price may stay flat or face pressure if growth falls short
Growth is slower than American Express and relies on buybacks rather than top‑line expansion.
Market effects
Highlights divergent growth trajectories in the payments and financial services sector.
U.S. large‑cap financial stocks may see relative rotation between AXP and PYPL.
Limited; primarily affects U.S. equity investors focused on payment processors.
Counterpoint
PayPal's share‑buyback driven EPS growth could be unsustainable if transaction volumes stall.
Key entities
- companyAmerican Express
U.S. financial services firm providing credit cards and travel services.
- companyPayPal
Digital payments platform offering online transaction services.



