Caterpillar Keeps Sliding: Why Evercore ISI Still Sees 40% Upside

Evercore ISI cut its Caterpillar (CAT) price target to $833 from $1,045 but maintains an Outperform rating, seeing 40% upside. CAT stock fell 34% in six months due to cautious Q4 outlook and political concerns. Q3 sales rose 17% to $20.7B, EPS to $7.20, with a record backlog of $78B. Analysts expect $27.11 EPS this year, $32.25 next year.

Original reporting
Published Nov 11, 2026, 3:43 PM UTC
Analysis
AlphAI AI DeskAI-generated
Added to AlphAI Nov 11, 2026, 3:59 PM UTC. Informational, not investment advice.
How this was made
AlphAI summarizes source reporting and applies a structured AI analysis for relevance, timing, sentiment and ticker impact. Always verify material claims with the original publisher.
Caterpillar Keeps Sliding: Why Evercore ISI Still Sees 40% Upside — source image
Decision brief

The 30-second read

$CATBullishMed
01

Why it matters

The analyst downgrade signals valuation concerns but the retained upside target could spark buying interest.

02

Market read

Analyst target adjustment provides fresh guidance for traders evaluating CAT's valuation and potential rebound.

03

What to watch

Potential slowdown in data‑center spending and political risk from regulatory changes.

Relevance 7/10Novelty 7/10Timing: post‑market today

Background

Caterpillar reported record Q3 results but guided modest Q4 sales, prompting a price‑target cut while maintaining a bullish outlook.

Company-level read

Ticker impact

$CATBullishHigh confidence
Context

Evercore ISI cut Caterpillar's price target to $833 from $1,045, keeping an Outperform rating and projecting a 40% upside despite a 34% six‑month decline.

Expected impact

potential upward pressure as investors consider the 40% upside target.

Evidence & confidence

The new target is fresh, specific, and suggests the stock is undervalued, prompting possible re‑allocation into CAT.

Market effects

May influence broader industrial equipment sector sentiment as analysts reassess valuation multiples.

U.S. industrial stocks could see modest lift if CAT rallies.

Limited to markets tracking heavy‑equipment makers.

Counterpoint

Some investors may remain skeptical given the high multiple required for the upside.

Key entities

  • Caterpillar

    Heavy‑equipment maker (ticker CAT).

  • Evercore ISI

    Equity research analyst firm that issued the price‑target change.

Related articles

$CATHigh

Anthropic $3.4B deal raises questions on AI's insatiable power needs

Anthropic, the company behind Claude AI, spent $3.4B on 1.7GW of gas generators from Caterpillar (CAT) for its data centers, highlighting AI's growing power needs. The deal, closed in September, underscores the importance of power generation for AI infrastructure. Anthropic, which filed for a 2026 IPO, reported an $80.7B net loss in H1 2026 and has $895B in long-term computing commitments, relying on loans for funding.

$CATLow

Caterpillar Stock Is Waiting On One Answer

Caterpillar (CAT) reports a record backlog of $78B, nearly matching its annual revenue. Management highlights capacity constraints in its Power and Energy segment, with orders extending into 2029. The backlog grew 96% YoY, but revenue recognition depends on delivery timelines. CAT plans to triple large engine capacity by 2030, facing operational challenges. Q4 2026 sales are expected to grow moderately.

$CATMedAI 8/10

Why is Caterpillar stock sliding today?

Caterpillar (CAT) stock fell 3.2% in morning trading due to higher-than-expected October CPI data, which increased expectations of a December Fed rate hike. The decline follows a 7.2% gain on Monday, driven by a market rally and short-covering after Michael Burry reduced his bearish position. Institutional investors also trimmed their CAT holdings in Q3. The broader market also declined, with the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq each down around 0.5%.

$CATHighAI 8/10

Caterpillar Stocks Jump 6.61% as Anthropic Takes Over $3.4 Billion Generator Order

Caterpillar (CAT) shares rose 6.61% to $595.53 after Anthropic agreed to a $3.4 billion deal for gas-fired generators. The order, originally placed by OnePWR, is part of CAT's Power & Energy segment, which saw 18% sales growth in Q3. Adjusted EPS increased to $7.20, and operating margin reached 20.4%. The deal converts existing orders into funded ones, reducing risk but not adding to backlog.