Intuitive Machines signals $920M-$950M FY2026 revenue outlook while targeting 13%-15% of $1.9B backlog to convert in Q4
Intuitive Machines (LUNR) reported Q3 2026 revenue of $269M, up 31% from last quarter, with $8M in adjusted EBITDA and $33M in free cash flow. The company projected FY2026 revenue of $920M-$950M and aims to convert 13%-15% of its $1.9B backlog in Q4, according to the company.
How this was made
The 30-second read
Why it matters
The guidance suggests a stronger revenue trajectory, which could attract growth‑oriented investors.
Market read
New revenue guidance provides a clear catalyst for short‑term price movement.
What to watch
Potential execution risk on backlog conversion and capital‑intensive launch schedule.
Background
Intuitive Machines (LUNR) reported record Q3 performance and issued FY2026 guidance.
Ticker impact
Intuitive Machines disclosed FY2026 revenue guidance of $920M-$950M and a plan to convert 13%-15% of its $1.9B backlog in Q4, a fresh earnings‑related update.
potential upside as investors price in stronger revenue outlook
The new revenue range and backlog conversion target are material new data that can shift valuation.
Market effects
Positive outlook may lift other small‑cap space‑flight and satellite service firms.
U.S. small‑cap market could see modest gains.
Limited to niche aerospace sector.
Counterpoint
If guidance is already priced in, the stock may face limited upside.
Key entities
- companyIntuitive Machines
U.S. listed space‑flight services provider.




