Alibaba Has Slumped for a Year: Why DBS Thinks It Can Double
Alibaba's stock fell 36.9% in the past year, with fiscal 2026 earnings down 59% due to AI and quick commerce investments. DBS maintains a Buy rating and $207 target, citing potential earnings growth. Analysts expect earnings to double by fiscal 2028, with the next test coming in the Nov. 19 report.
How this was made
The 30-second read
Why it matters
DBS's new $207 target suggests a significant upside thesis, but investors must weigh execution risk.
Market read
Analyst upgrade could spark buying interest in Alibaba and related Chinese tech stocks.
What to watch
Supply‑chain constraints and macro‑economic headwinds could delay the projected earnings rebound.
Background
Alibaba's stock has fallen 36.9% over the past year, with earnings pressure from AI and quick‑commerce spending.
Ticker impact
DBS raised its target price to $207 and kept a Buy rating, a new analyst upgrade with a specific price target for Alibaba.
likely upward pressure as traders price in the higher target
The target is substantially above current price and is the first such upgrade in the article.
Market effects
May lift other Chinese e‑commerce and cloud peers as analysts reassess valuations.
Potentially supportive for broader Asian tech sentiment.
Limited to investors focused on Chinese tech exposure.
Counterpoint
The target assumes rapid earnings recovery; execution risk remains high amid weak AI spending.
Key entities
- CompanyAlibaba Group Holding Ltd.
Chinese e‑commerce and cloud provider, ticker BABA.
- AnalystDBS
Investment bank that issued the new Buy rating and target.



