Gold Has Cooled From Its First-Quarter Record, Yet Miners Still Sold Ounces at Prices More Than 20% Above Last Year

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SALT LAKE CITY, Nov. 2, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Equity Insider News Commentary - Whether gold looks expensive or cheap in 2026 depends on the yardstick. Against last year, the metal is still worth far more: the London PM gold price averaged $4,262 an ounce in the third quarter, about 23% above the $3,456.50 average for the same quarter of 2025, and four gold miners that reported over the past two weeks booked realized prices more than 20% higher than a year earlier. Against the start of this year, the direction has reversed. The quarterly average has now declined for two straight quarters from a first-quarter record of $4,872.90, and the LBMA Gold Price PM was set at $3,913.25 on Friday, October 30, down from $4,013.30 on October 23. Active Companies from around the markets with current developments this week include: Newmont Corporation (NYSE: NEM), Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (NYSE: AEM), Kinross Gold Corporation (NYSE: KGC), Alamos Gold Inc. (NYSE: AGI), Royal Gold, Inc. (NASDAQ: RGLD).

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The World Gold Council has linked September's decline to a surge in U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar, together with a drop in futures positions. The Federal Reserve raised the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/4 percentage point to 3-3/4 to 4 percent on September 16, and the Council said the increase, along with the Fed's signal that further tightening could follow, put upward pressure on yields and the dollar, raised the opportunity cost of holding gold and weighed on its price. At its October 28 meeting, the Fed left the range unchanged in a 10-2 vote, with Lisa D. Cook and Beth M. Hammack preferring another quarter-point increase, and the Committee again stated that inflation remains elevated.

Yields have since come down. Treasury's daily par yield curve put the 10-year yield at 4.94% on October 30, down from 5.29% on September 30, and the 2-year yield at 4.56%, down from 4.88%. Even so, the LBMA PM price of $3,913.25 on October 30 was well below the $4,262 third-quarter average.

Buyers have not walked away during the pullback. Gold-backed ETFs took in a record $31 billion during the third quarter, according to the Council, and in September global holdings rose 67 tonnes to a record 4,256 tonnes despite a lower gold price, while total assets under management fell 7% from August to $574 billion. North American funds added $12 billion over the quarter and European funds a record $14 billion, with U.K.-listed funds posting their strongest quarter on record. In its review of North American funds, the Council said persistent inflation and elevated energy prices, concerns over equity valuations, particularly in AI-related sectors, and increased bond-market volatility may have reinforced gold's appeal as a portfolio diversifier. Central banks bought 289 tonnes in the second quarter, the most recent period in the Council's Gold Demand Trends series, and the Council said in July that central banks remain on course for another strong year, although likely lower than 2025. Its third-quarter demand report had not been posted on its website as of Sunday, November 1.

Gold, Treasury yields and the dollar have not moved in lockstep this year, which makes the chart behind each headline worth a closer look. Readers who want to learn to read those signals can get the free Knowledge is Power guide from Stock Preachers at equity-insider.com/.

In other industry developments and happenings in the market this week include:

Newmont Corporation (NYSE: NEM)

Newmont reported an average realized gold price of $4,317 an ounce for the third quarter, $97 lower than in the second quarter but above the $3,539 it realized in the third quarter of 2025. The company produced 1.3 million attributable gold ounces, generated $1.9 billion of free cash flow, and reported net income of $2.5 billion and adjusted net income of $2.3 billion, or $2.20 per diluted share. It said it is on track for full-year production guidance of 5.3 million attributable gold ounces, improved its full-year cost guidance to $925 per ounce for gold by-product costs applicable to sales and $1,520 per ounce for all-in sustaining costs, and ended the quarter with a net cash position of $3.2 billion.

"Newmont remains on track to achieve our full-year 2026 production guidance and improved full-year cost outlook, supported by disciplined operational execution in the third quarter, demonstrating the strength and resilience of our world-class portfolio," said Natascha Viljoen, Newmont's President and Chief Executive Officer.

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (NYSE: AEM)

Agnico Eagle realized $4,264 an ounce in the third quarter, compared with $3,476 a year earlier, on payable gold production of 814,012 ounces at all-in sustaining costs of $1,648 per ounce. Quarterly net income was $1,353 million, or $2.67 per share, and free cash flow was $852 million. The company expects full-year production near the lower end of its 3.3 million to 3.5 million ounce range, reflecting an adjusted mine plan for the Barnat open pit at Canadian Malartic after a rock mass movement reported on July 2, and full-year total cash costs and all-in sustaining costs per ounce near the upper end of their guidance ranges, citing the adjusted production plan and input cost pressures primarily related to diesel. After the quarter ended, it increased its unsecured revolving bank credit facility to $3 billion from $2 billion.

"Our business continues to perform well, reflecting the consistent execution of our teams across the Company," said Ammar Al-Joundi, President and Chief Executive Officer.

Kinross Gold Corporation (NYSE: KGC)

Kinross reported an average realized gold price of $4,249 an ounce for the third quarter, up from $3,460 a year earlier, and said its margins rose 19% from the third quarter of 2025 to $2,747 per gold equivalent ounce sold. Production totaled 424,693 gold equivalent ounces at an attributable all-in sustaining cost of $1,947 per gold equivalent ounce sold, and reported earnings were $583.2 million, or $0.49 per share. The company raised its 2026 return of capital commitment to 50% of free cash flow from 40%, said it had returned more than $950 million to shareholders so far this year, and poured first gold from Redbird 1 at Bald Mountain in early October.

"Kinross' portfolio demonstrated its resilience in Q3," said J. Paul Rollinson, CEO.

Alamos Gold Inc. (NYSE: AGI)

Alamos Gold sold 118,361 ounces of gold in the third quarter at an average realized price of $4,258 per ounce, against $3,359 a year earlier, for quarterly revenues of $510.4 million including silver sales, which the company said was a 10% increase from the third quarter of 2025. Production of 119,000 ounces met quarterly guidance, with the Island Gold District producing a record 68,700 ounces, and reported net earnings were $165.6 million, or $0.40 per share. Alamos said commissioning of the Island Gold District shaft has been delayed by approximately one quarter to mid-2027, and that it expects production to increase and total cash costs and all-in sustaining costs to decrease in the fourth quarter.

"Through the expansions of the Island Gold District and development of Lynn Lake, we remain on track to nearly double our rate of production to approximately one million ounces annually by 2030, at substantially lower costs," said John A. McCluskey, President and Chief Executive Officer.

Royal Gold, Inc. (NASDAQ: RGLD)

Royal Gold, which holds a portfolio of precious metal streams, royalties and similar production-based interests, will release its third-quarter results after the market closes on Wednesday, November 4, followed by a conference call on Thursday, November 5, at 12:00 p.m. ET. In preliminary figures released on October 20, it estimated stream segment sales of $318.3 million, or 74,700 gold equivalent ounces, with 57,600 ounces of gold sold in that segment, and royalty segment sales of $143 million to $149 million, using the quarter's average London PM gold price of $4,262 per ounce to calculate gold equivalent ounces. During the quarter, the company repaid $250 million of debt and repurchased 190,045 shares for $49 million. The estimates are preliminary and subject to change.

"Financial results for the second quarter were strong and we made meaningful progress on executing our priorities," Bill Heissenbuttel, President and CEO of Royal Gold, said in the company's second-quarter report on August 5.

Gold's retreat from its first-quarter record has not closed the gap with last year's prices, and that gap is still showing up in miners' quarterly results. Investors tracking how bullion prices, Treasury yields and producer margins shift from one quarter to the next can pick up the free Stock Preachers guide, along with The Roadmap market reports, at equity-insider.com/.

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This article is independent news commentary. Equity Insider is wholly owned and operated by Market Equities Limited ("MEL"), a company incorporated under the laws of Ireland. MEL has not been paid by any company mentioned in this article. MEL and its owners, operators, directors, and affiliates do not currently own any shares of the companies mentioned in this article, but reserve the right to, and will, buy and sell shares of those companies at any time without further notice. Gold prices cited are the LBMA Gold Price PM for October 23 and October 30, 2026 as published by LBMA, quarterly LBMA PM averages as reported by the World Gold Council on July 30, 2026, and third-quarter 2026 London PM averages as reported by Royal Gold on October 20, 2026 and Alamos Gold on October 28, 2026. Treasury yields are U.S. Department of the Treasury daily par yield curve rates for September 30 and October 30, 2026; ETF and central bank figures are from World Gold Council publications dated July 30 and October 7, 2026. Company figures, guidance and scheduled dates are as stated by the companies and may change. Information is drawn from company news releases and filings, government and industry data, published reporting and third-party data believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. Investing in securities carries risk, including the loss of some or all of your investment. This document is governed by the laws of Ireland.

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AlphAI analysis

ByAlphAI AI DeskAI-generated

Written by AlphAI from the release above, not by the issuer or PR Newswire. Informational, not investment advice.

Decision brief

The 30-second read

$NEMBullishMed
01

Why it matters

Earnings beats and guidance upgrades may drive short-term buying, while the broader gold price decline tempers long-term outlook.

02

Market read

Gold miner earnings are a key driver for the sector amid shifting macro conditions.

03

What to watch

Potential cost inflation from diesel and labor could pressure margins despite current price gains.

Relevance 8/10Novelty 8/10Timing: today

Background

The article provides Q3 earnings and operational updates for major gold miners as gold prices retreat from record highs.

Company-level read

Ticker impact

$NEMBullishHigh confidence
Context

Newmont reported Q3 realized gold price of $4,317/oz, full-year production guidance and improved cost outlook.

Expected impact

likely upside as market prices in higher realized price and improved cost guidance

Evidence & confidence

Q3 numbers beat expectations and guidance raises full-year outlook, prompting buying interest.

$AEMNeutralMedium confidence
Context

Agnico Eagle posted Q3 realized price $4,264/oz, production near guidance and increased credit facility.

Expected impact

moderate pressure as higher realized price offsets cost guidance concerns

Evidence & confidence

Strong price but guidance uncertainty may limit upside.

$KGCBullishHigh confidence
Context

Kinross reported Q3 realized price $4,249/oz, 19% margin rise and increased return of capital commitment.

Expected impact

likely upside as higher margins and capital return signal strength

Evidence & confidence

Margin expansion and capital return raise investor confidence.

$AGIBullishHigh confidence
Context

Alamos Gold posted Q3 realized price $4,258/oz, revenue up 10% and record production at Island Gold.

Expected impact

potential upside as earnings beat and production record attract buyers

Evidence & confidence

Revenue growth and record output support a bullish view.

$RGLDNeutralLow confidence
Context

Royal Gold announced upcoming Q3 results and preliminary stream segment sales of $318.3M.

Expected impact

limited movement until results release

Evidence & confidence

Only preliminary figures disclosed; market awaits full results.

Market effects

Gold miner earnings reinforce sector strength amid higher gold prices.

North American miners show resilience, supporting regional equity sentiment.

Higher realized gold prices may boost global gold exposure funds.

Counterpoint

Higher gold prices could be temporary if yields fall further, risking miner valuations.

Key entities

  • World Gold Council

    Provides gold market data and commentary.

  • Federal Reserve

    Recent rate hike influences gold price dynamics.