Q3 2026 preliminary estimates
Filed Oct 5, 2026DFDV Preliminary Q3’26 Estimates Indicate Double-Digit SPS Growth and More Than 100% NAV Per Share Growth In Q3; SOL Treasury Growth Rises to 11% Since August 12
The filing reports continued SOL treasury accumulation, approximately 11% growth in SOL and SOL equivalents since August 12, and preliminary expectations for double-digit SPS growth and more than 100% NAV per share growth. The update does not include finalized Q3 financial statements, revenue, profitability, or cash flow.
Key metrics
as reported| Metric | Value | q/q | y/y |
|---|---|---|---|
| SOL and SOL equivalentsother | approximately 2,564,212 SOL | – | – |
| Value of SOL and SOL equivalentsother | $302M | – | – |
| SOL added to treasury since September 28, 2026other | approximately 26,203 SOL | – | – |
| Growth in SOL and SOL equivalents since August 12, 2026other | approximately 11% | – | – |
| CHAD annual dividend rateother | 13% | – | – |
| CHAD stated amountother | $10 | – | – |
| CHAD annual dividend per share at the current rateother | $1.30 per share annually | – | – |
| SOL performance versus the Nasdaq-100 in Q3other | 56% | – | – |
| DFDV performance versus SOL in Q3other | 1.5x | – | – |
As of September 30, 2026, compared with August 12, 2026 outlook
- NoteDouble-digit growth in SOL per share (“SPS”).
- NoteMore than 100% growth in net asset value (“NAV”) per share.
- NoteDouble-digit growth in total SOL and SOL equivalents.
- NoteA reduction in notional SOL-denominated borrowings.
- NoteMore than 100% growth in cash and cash equivalents.
Capital returns
- On October 1, 2026, DFDV paid CHAD’s first dividend.
- CHAD currently carries a 13% annual dividend rate on its $10 stated amount, equivalent to $1.30 per share annually at the current rate.
- Dividend payments continue each business day when declared.
What drove it
- Continued purchases and organic accumulation drove approximately 11% growth in SOL holdings since August 12.
- The Company intends to put SOL holdings to work through staking and validator operations.
- Management said staking and validator operations generate recurring rewards and fees that provide an organic source of income to support CHAD dividend obligations.
- The Company is focused on expanding CHAD investor awareness, market access, and liquidity as it works toward establishing CHAD at its $10 stated amount.
Concerns
- The September 30 metrics are preliminary, unaudited, subject to completion of the financial close and verification of underlying balances and share counts, and may differ materially from final results.
- SPS and NAV per share are supplemental analytical measures and do not represent GAAP book value per share, liquidation proceeds, or shareholder investment returns.
- NAV and SPS depend on valuation and capital-structure assumptions, including a SOL reference price and adjusted common shares outstanding.
- The filing identifies SOL price volatility, SOL network demand and activity, potential dilution from future securities issuances, access to capital, regulatory matters, and changes in accounting treatment for SOL holdings as risks.
- CHAD dividends are payable only when declared, its dividend rate may be adjusted, CHAD may trade below its stated amount, and staking and validator rewards may be insufficient to support dividend payments.
What to watch
- Final reported September 30, 2026 SPS, NAV per share, SOL and SOL-equivalent holdings, SOL-denominated borrowings, and cash and cash equivalents.
- Whether final results support the preliminary expectations for double-digit SPS growth, more than 100% NAV per share growth, and more than 100% cash and cash-equivalent growth.
- Further SOL accumulation and the use of the $300 million CHAD ATM as a growth-capital source.
- CHAD trading liquidity, its progress toward the $10 stated amount, and the declaration and payment of future dividends.
- The contribution of staking rewards and validator fees to dividend coverage and treasury growth.
Balance sheet and cash flow
- Total holdings were approximately 2,564,212 SOL and SOL equivalents worth $302M.
- The Company expects a reduction in notional SOL-denominated borrowings as of September 30, 2026, compared with August 12, 2026.
- The Company expects more than 100% growth in cash and cash equivalents as of September 30, 2026, compared with August 12, 2026.
- The Company recently established a $300 million CHAD ATM as an additional source of growth capital.
Analysis
This Item 2.02 filing is a preliminary treasury and capital-markets update rather than a conventional earnings release. DeFi Development reported approximately 2,564,212 SOL and SOL equivalents worth $302M after adding approximately 26,203 SOL since September 28, 2026. The Company said total SOL and SOL equivalents had grown approximately 11% since its August 12 Q2 earnings report, citing continued purchases and organic accumulation.
Management expects further improvement in per-share treasury measures as of September 30, 2026 versus August 12, 2026. Specifically, it expects double-digit SPS growth, more than 100% NAV per share growth, double-digit growth in total SOL and SOL equivalents, a reduction in notional SOL-denominated borrowings, and more than 100% growth in cash and cash equivalents. No absolute SPS, NAV per share, cash, or borrowing figures were provided, and all of these September 30 measures remain preliminary.
The capital-allocation focus is expanding SOL exposure per common share while managing liabilities and liquidity. The recently established $300 million CHAD ATM is identified as an additional source of growth capital. Management also frames staking and validator operations as sources of recurring rewards and fees, intended to support both organic treasury growth and obligations associated with its preferred equity.
CHAD entered its dividend-payment phase on October 1, 2026, when the Company paid its first dividend. CHAD carries a 13% annual dividend rate on its $10 stated amount, equivalent to $1.30 per share annually at the current rate, with payments continuing each business day when declared. The central execution issues are whether CHAD can develop liquidity and trade at its stated amount, whether staking and validator income supports dividend coverage, and whether final September 30 balances validate management’s preliminary per-share and liquidity claims.
The filing contains no reported revenue, gross margin, operating income, net income, EPS, operating cash flow, free cash flow, or GAAP financial statements. As a result, the update provides evidence of treasury growth and preferred-equity financing activity, but does not provide the financial results necessary to assess operating demand, profitability, expense control, or cash generation for Q3 2026.
Management, verbatim
The DFDV ship is flying at lightning speed. We have continued buying SOL and have grown our treasury by 11% since August 12. Those gains are adding up. We expect to report double digit growth in SOL per share and more than a doubling of NAV per share since our August update. Our focus remains on making each common share represent more SOL over time.
Joseph Onorati, Chief Executive Officer of DeFi Development Corp.
CHAD is fuel for the DFDV engine and central to our next phase of growth. It opens our strategy to income investors and gives us another source of capital to accumulate SOL and expand the treasury’s earning power. Our focus now is on building investor awareness, deepening liquidity, and establishing CHAD at its $10 stated amount.
Joseph Onorati, Chief Executive Officer of DeFi Development Corp.
Not in the filing
stated, not guessed- Final Q3 2026 financial statements.
- Total revenue and revenue growth.
- Segment revenue and segment growth.
- GAAP and non-GAAP gross profit and gross margin.
- GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses and operating income.
- GAAP and non-GAAP net income or loss.
- GAAP and non-GAAP EPS.
- Operating cash flow and free cash flow.
- Cash and cash-equivalent balance as of September 30, 2026.
- Notional SOL-denominated borrowings as of September 30, 2026.
- Absolute SPS as of September 30, 2026.
- Absolute NAV per share as of September 30, 2026.
- Adjusted common shares outstanding.
- Prior-year and prior-quarter financial comparisons.
- Forward revenue, margin, operating-expense, and tax-rate guidance.
- Prior outlook for comparison with reported results.
AlphAI analysis generated from the company’s SEC earnings filing (Form 8-K Item 2.02, or Form 6-K for a foreign private issuer). Every figure was cross-checked against the filing text; consensus estimates, price targets and share-price reactions are not shown because they are not in the filing. AI-generated research, not investment advice.