$NOG earnings report

NOG Provides Third Quarter Operational Update. AlphAI read Northern Oil & Gas's Third quarter 2026 filing as mixed. 2 quarters are on record below.

Next earnings date

NOG is scheduled to report on Nov 5, 2026.

Third quarter 2026

AlphAI · Earnings readNOG · Third quarter 2026

NOG Provides Third Quarter Operational Update

→Mixed quarter

NOG reported a clean operating quarter and continued ground game execution, but expects substantial unrealized derivative mark-to-market losses and realized hedge losses. Third-quarter capital spending is expected to rise sequentially, while the company reiterated 2026 capital-expenditure guidance without disclosing the underlying range in this release.

Key metrics

shortened, hover for the filing’s print
MetricValueq/qy/y
Third quarter 2026 capital expenditures (estimated, excluding non-budgeted acquisitions and other)other$250.0 to $253.0 millionincreased sequential capital spend–
Third quarter 2026 unrealized mark-to-market losses on derivatives (expected)other$300.0 to $320.0 million––
Third quarter 2026 realized hedge losses (estimated)other$51.0 to $52.0 million––
Third quarter 2026 ground game deals closedother19 deals––
Third quarter 2026 net acres addedotherapproximately 1,060 net acres––
Third quarter 2026 net wells addedother2.8 net wells––
Third quarter 2026 acquisition costs and associated development capital deployedotherapproximately $56.5 million––
Capital deployed to Permian, Williston, and Uinta basinsothernearly 85%––
Third quarter 2026 shares repurchasedother667,989 shares of common stock––
Third quarter 2026 share repurchasesother$16.0 million inclusive of commissions––
Third quarter 2026 average share repurchase price, inclusive of commissionsother$23.96 per share––
Common stock repurchase program increase authorized in July 2026other$150M––
Remaining common stock repurchase capacity after third-quarter repurchasesotherapproximately $227.2 million––
Quarterly cash dividend declared on August 4, 2026other$0.45––

Third quarter 2026 and 2026 outlook

  • NoteThird quarter capital expenditures are expected to be $250.0 to $253.0 million, excluding non-budgeted acquisitions and other.
  • NoteCapital expenditures are expected to trend lower in the fourth quarter, absent significant non-budgeted activity.
  • NoteThe Company reiterates its 2026 capital expenditures guidance.
  • NoteBased on current pace, NOG expects capital spending to be toward the higher end of the range.

Capital returns

  • On August 4, 2026, the Company declared a $0.45 quarterly cash dividend, payable on October 30, 2026.
  • Repurchased 667,989 shares of common stock in the third quarter for a total of $16.0 million inclusive of commissions.
  • The average repurchase price, inclusive of commissions, was $23.96 per share.
  • In July 2026, the Board of Directors authorized a $150.0 million increase to the common stock repurchase program.
  • Remaining repurchase capacity was approximately $227.2 million after consideration for repurchases in the quarter.

What drove it

  • NOG described a clean operational quarter with minimal field disruptions.
  • Oil strip prices rallied, and the company saw incremental acceleration of development activity across its oil basins.
  • NOG closed 19 ground game deals, adding approximately 1,060 net acres and 2.8 net wells.
  • Spend was more heavily focused toward near-term production in oil-focused basins, with nearly 85% of capital deployed to the Permian, Williston, and Uinta basins.
  • Expected unrealized derivative losses were driven by changes to the value of the derivatives portfolio.
  • Estimated realized hedge losses were driven by crude oil hedges and were partially offset by gas and basis hedges.

Concerns

  • Third-quarter unrealized mark-to-market losses on derivatives are expected to be $300.0 to $320.0 million.
  • Third-quarter realized hedge losses are estimated at $51.0 to $52.0 million.
  • Third-quarter preliminary financial and operating information is based on estimates and remains subject to completion of financial closing procedures.
  • Actual results may differ materially from preliminary estimates because of final adjustments, completed financial closing procedures, and developments after the release date.
  • The company said third-quarter activity accelerated and drove increased sequential capital spend.

What to watch

  • Final third-quarter financial and operating results following completion of NOG's financial closing procedures.
  • The final amount of third-quarter derivative mark-to-market losses and realized hedge losses.
  • Whether fourth-quarter capital expenditures trend lower as expected, absent significant non-budgeted activity.
  • Capital spending relative to the higher end of NOG's reiterated 2026 capital-expenditures guidance range.
  • Further ground game acquisition activity and its concentration in the Permian, Williston, and Uinta basins.
  • Execution of the October 30, 2026 quarterly cash dividend payment and use of approximately $227.2 million of remaining repurchase capacity.

Analysis

This filing is a preliminary third-quarter operational update rather than a comprehensive earnings release. NOG reported a clean quarter with minimal field disruptions, and said all basins met internal expectations. Management linked incremental acceleration of development activity across oil basins to rallied oil strip prices, indicating a more active operating environment during the quarter.

Ground game activity remained active. NOG closed 19 deals that added approximately 1,060 net acres and 2.8 net wells, while deploying approximately $56.5 million in acquisition costs and associated development capital. The capital mix was concentrated in near-term production opportunities in oil-focused basins, with nearly 85% of capital deployed to the Permian, Williston, and Uinta basins.

Capital spending is the principal operating item disclosed for the period. Total booked third-quarter capital spending is estimated at $250.0 to $253.0 million, excluding non-budgeted acquisitions and other. The company said accelerated current and forward activity drove increased sequential capital spend. It expects expenditures to trend lower in the fourth quarter absent significant non-budgeted activity, while reiterating 2026 capital-expenditures guidance and expecting spending toward the higher end of that undisclosed range.

Hedging results are the major offset in the update. NOG expects third-quarter unrealized mark-to-market losses on derivatives of $300.0 to $320.0 million, driven by changes in the value of its derivatives portfolio. It also estimates realized hedge losses of $51.0 to $52.0 million, driven by crude oil hedges and partially offset by gas and basis hedges. The filing provides no revenue, profitability, production, cash-flow, or balance-sheet figures, so the ultimate earnings and cash-flow effect of these items cannot be assessed from this document.

Capital returns continued through both dividends and buybacks. NOG declared a $0.45 quarterly cash dividend on August 4, 2026, payable on October 30, 2026. It repurchased 667,989 shares for $16.0 million inclusive of commissions at an average price of $23.96 per share. Following a $150.0 million authorization increase in July 2026, remaining repurchase capacity was approximately $227.2 million after the quarter's repurchases. All third-quarter information in the release is preliminary and subject to final closing adjustments.

Not in the filing

stated, not guessed
  • Period end date.
  • GAAP total revenue and any prior-year or prior-quarter comparison.
  • Segment revenue and segment-level comparisons.
  • GAAP gross profit or gross margin.
  • GAAP operating income or loss and operating margin.
  • GAAP net income or loss.
  • GAAP diluted EPS.
  • Non-GAAP earnings, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income, or non-GAAP EPS.
  • Production volumes, commodity pricing, lease operating expenses, and other operating-cost metrics.
  • Operating cash flow.
  • Free cash flow.
  • Cash and cash equivalents.
  • Total debt, net debt, liquidity, or borrowing-capacity figures.
  • Detailed 2026 capital-expenditures guidance range.
  • Revenue, gross margin, operating-expense, and tax-rate guidance.
  • Prior-period guidance for comparison.
  • Named executive commentary or attributable executive quotes.

AlphAI analysis generated from the company’s SEC earnings filing (Form 8-K Item 2.02, or Form 6-K for a foreign private issuer). Every figure was cross-checked against the filing text; consensus estimates, price targets and share-price reactions are not shown because they are not in the filing. AI-generated research, not investment advice.

second quarter 2026

AlphAI · Earnings readNOG · second quarter 2026 · ended June 30, 2026

NOG Announces Second Quarter 2026 Results

✓Solid quarter

Production increased 9% from the second quarter of 2025, free cash flow increased 424% from the first quarter of 2026 and 26% from the second quarter of 2025, and Adjusted EBITDA increased 17% sequentially. Oil volumes declined 11% year over year following well shut-ins and deferred turn-in-lines, while the company maintained annual production and capital-expenditure guidance.

EPS · GAAP
$2.19

Actuals vs. the company’s prior outlook

from its previous release
MetricGuidedReportedVerdict
Annual Production (2-stream, Boe per day)143,000 - 148,000145,659 Boe per dayin line
Annual Oil Production (Bbls per day)71,500 - 73,50068,275 Bbls per daybelow
Total Budgeted Capital Expenditures ($ in millions)$850 - $900$195.8 millionn/a
Net Total Wells Turned-in-Line74.0 - 76.012.7 net wellsn/a
LOE/Production Expenses (per Boe)$9.70 - $9.90$9.59 per Boebelow
Production Taxes (as a percentage of Oil & Gas Sales)7.5% - 8.0%3.45 per Boen/a
Oil Differential to NYMEX WTI (per Bbl)($5.25 - $5.60)($3.03)above
Gas Realization as a Percentage of NYMEX Henry Hub (per Mcf)70.0% - 72.5%90% realization compared with Henry Hub pricingabove
DD&A Rate (per Boe)$15.00 - $15.5014.55 per Boebelow
General and Administrative Expense (per Boe), Non-Cash$0.25 - $0.30$4.4 millionn/a
General and Administrative Expense (per Boe), Cash (excluding transaction costs on non-budgeted acquisitions)$0.83 - $0.86$0.94 per Boeabove

Key metrics

shortened, hover for the filing’s print
MetricValueq/qy/y
Oil and natural gas salesGAAP$670.8M––
GAAP net incomeGAAP$236.6M––
GAAP net income per diluted shareGAAP$2.19 per diluted share––
Adjusted Net Incomenon-GAAP$122.5M––
Adjusted Net Income per adjusted diluted sharenon-GAAP$1.13 per adjusted diluted share––
Adjusted EBITDAnon-GAAP$401M17% increase from the first quarter of 2026–
Cash flow from operationsGAAP$321.6M––
Cash flow from operations excluding changes in net working capitalother$353.7M––
Free Cash Flownon-GAAP$159M424% from the first quarter of 202626% from the second quarter of 2025
Capital expendituresother$195.8M––
Total drilling and completion capital on organic assetsother$151M––
Ground Game activityother$44.7M––
Total productionother145,659 Boe per day–9%
Oil productionother68,275 Bbls per day–(11)%
Natural gas productionother464,330 Mcf per day3.5% increase from the first quarter of 202635%
Oil average sales priceother$90.02 per Bbl–54%
Natural gas and NGLs average sales priceother$2.64 per Mcf–(9)%
Oil net of settled oil derivativesother69.37 per Bbl–7%
Natural gas and NGLs net of settled natural gas and NGL derivativesother3.63 per Mcf–5%
Realized price on a Boe basis excluding settled commodity derivativesother50.61–24%
Realized price on a Boe basis including settled commodity derivativesother44.10–(4)%
Production expensesother$9.59 per Boe–(4)%
Production taxesother3.45 per Boe–18%
General and administrative expensesother1.85 per Boe–45%
Depletion, depreciation, amortization and accretionother14.55 per Boe–(14)%
Lease operating costsother$127.1M––
Lease operating costsother$9.59 per Boe–4% lower on a per unit basis compared to the second quarter of 2025
Production taxesother$45.7M––
General and administrative costsother$24.5M––
Adjusted cash G&A costsnon-GAAP$12.4M––
Adjusted cash G&A costsnon-GAAP$0.94 per Boe–up $0.05 per Boe compared to the second quarter of 2025
Non-cash unrealized mark-to-market gain on derivativesotherapproximately $156.5 million––
Realized hedge lossesother$86.3M––
Total liquidityother$1B––
Committed borrowing availability under Revolving Credit Facilityother$975M––
Cash on handother$47.6M––
Net producing wells at period endother1,369.7–19%

Revised FY 2026 Guidance outlook

  • NoteAnnual Production (2-stream, Boe per day): 143,000 - 148,000
  • NoteAnnual Oil Production (Bbls per day): 71,500 - 73,500
  • NoteTotal Budgeted Capital Expenditures ($ in millions): $850 - $900
  • NoteNet Total Wells Turned-in-Line: 74.0 - 76.0
  • NoteLOE/Production Expenses (per Boe): $9.70 - $9.80
  • NoteProduction Taxes (as a percentage of Oil & Gas Sales): 7.5% - 8.0%
  • NoteOil Differential to NYMEX WTI (per Bbl): ($5.00 - $5.40)
  • NoteGas Realization as a Percentage of NYMEX Henry Hub (per Mcf): 70.0% - 75.0%
  • NoteDD&A Rate (per Boe): $15.00 - $15.50
  • NoteGeneral and Administrative Expense (per Boe), Non-Cash: $0.25 - $0.30
  • NoteGeneral and Administrative Expense (per Boe), Cash (excluding transaction costs on non-budgeted acquisitions): $0.83 - $0.86

Capital returns

  • Repurchased 2.95 million shares of common stock at an average price of $20.37, including commissions.
  • In May 2026, the board declared a cash dividend of $0.45 per share, paid on July 31, 2026, to stockholders of record as of June 29, 2026.
  • In August 2026, the board declared a cash dividend of $0.45 per share, payable on October 30, 2026, to stockholders of record as of September 29, 2026.
  • On July 10, 2026, the Board of Directors authorized a $150.0 million increase to the common stock repurchase program, providing current total repurchase capacity of approximately $243.0 million.

What drove it

  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 17% from the first quarter of 2026, driven primarily by a 13% improvement in realized commodity price per boe.
  • Natural gas production increased 35% from the second quarter of 2025 and reached a record 464,330 Mcf per day.
  • Appalachian volumes set another production record as the West Virginia joint development program culminated mid-quarter and the Utica joint development contributed a full quarter of production.
  • Uinta Assets significantly outperformed internal estimates on legacy production and the 2026 development program.
  • The Duvernay Light Oil Joint Development closed on June 1 for total consideration of $262.1 million.
  • The company completed 30 ground game transactions adding over 2,300 net acres and an additional 6.2 net wells for $44.7 million, inclusive of associated development costs.

Concerns

  • Oil production was 68,275 Bbls per day, down 11% from 76,944 Bbls per day in the second quarter of 2025.
  • Oil volumes were impacted by approximately 7,000 Boe per day of well shut-ins and 3 deferred turn-in-lines in certain Permian assets in April, May and part of June.
  • Natural gas realizations were pressured throughout the majority of the quarter due to weak Waha pricing.
  • Realized hedge losses were $86.3 million as gains on natural gas hedges were more than offset by losses on crude oil hedges.
  • G&A costs totaled $24.5 million, including $7.7 million mainly for transaction costs associated with the Duvernay acquisition.

What to watch

  • The expected third-quarter turn-in-lines for the 3 deferred Permian assets and the anticipated acceleration of TILs through the second half of 2026.
  • Delivery of revised FY 2026 production guidance of 143,000 - 148,000 Boe per day and oil-production guidance of 71,500 - 73,500 Bbls per day.
  • The revised oil differential guidance of ($5.00 - $5.40) per Bbl and revised gas realization guidance of 70.0% - 75.0%.
  • Execution of the $850 - $900 total budgeted capital-expenditure program and 74.0 - 76.0 net total wells turned-in-line guidance.
  • Deployment of approximately $243.0 million of current total repurchase capacity.

Balance sheet and cash flow

  • Cash flow from operations was $321.6 million.
  • Excluding changes in net working capital, cash flow from operations was $353.7 million.
  • Generated $159.0 million of Free Cash Flow.
  • Total liquidity was $1.0 billion as of June 30, 2026, consisting of $975.0 million of committed borrowing availability under its Revolving Credit Facility and $47.6 million of cash on hand.

Analysis

NOG reported $670.8 million of oil and natural gas sales, GAAP net income of $236.6 million, and Adjusted EBITDA of $401.0 million in the second quarter. Adjusted EBITDA increased 17% from the first quarter of 2026, which the company attributed primarily to a 13% improvement in realized commodity price per boe. Cash flow from operations was $321.6 million, while Free Cash Flow was $159.0 million, up 424% from the first quarter of 2026 and 26% from the second quarter of 2025.

Production reached 145,659 Boe per day, up 9% year over year, led by record natural gas production of 464,330 Mcf per day, up 35%. Oil production was 68,275 Bbls per day, down 11% from the prior-year quarter. NOG attributed the oil-volume shortfall to approximately 7,000 Boe per day of well shut-ins and 3 deferred Permian turn-in-lines during April, May and part of June. The shut-in wells are back online and the deferred turn-in-lines are expected in the third quarter.

Pricing improved materially before hedges. The unhedged net realized oil price was $90.02 per Bbl, up 54% from $58.37 per Bbl, while the average differential to WTI was ($3.03), a 43% improvement from the second quarter of 2025. Natural gas and NGLs averaged $2.64 per Mcf, down 9%, and management cited weak Waha pricing for pressure on natural gas realizations. Settled commodity derivatives reduced realized price on a Boe basis by $6.51, and realized hedge losses were $86.3 million.

Operating costs showed a mixed pattern. Production expenses were $9.59 per Boe, down 4% year over year, and DD&A was 14.55 per Boe, down 14%. Production taxes increased to $45.7 million from $35.6 million due to higher oil prices. G&A expenses rose to $24.5 million, or 1.85 per Boe, largely reflecting $7.7 million of Duvernay transaction costs. Adjusted cash G&A was $12.4 million, or $0.94 per Boe.

Capital allocation combined development, acquisitions, repurchases and dividends. Capital expenditures were $195.8 million, including $151.0 million of D&C capital on organic assets and $44.7 million of Ground Game activity. NOG closed the Duvernay Light Oil Joint Development for $262.1 million, repurchased 2.95 million shares at an average price of $20.37, and increased repurchase capacity to approximately $243.0 million. The company maintained annual production, oil-production, capital-expenditure and well turn-in-line guidance, while revising LOE, oil-differential and gas-realization assumptions.

Management, verbatim

The strength of the NOG model shows most clearly when the macro backdrop is at its most volatile, and the flexibility of our diversified, non-operated business model is precisely what carried us through this quarter. Adjusted EBITDA was up 17% sequentially over the first quarter and we reiterated our full year production guidance despite less than ideal operating conditions.

Nick O’Grady, Chief Executive Officer

Not in the filing

stated, not guessed
  • Total revenue not separately reported. The filing reports oil and natural gas sales of $670.8 million.
  • Gross profit and gross margin not reported.
  • GAAP operating income not reported.
  • Non-GAAP operating income not reported.
  • Prior-year and prior-quarter total sales figures not reported.
  • Prior-year and prior-quarter GAAP net income and GAAP diluted EPS figures not reported.
  • Prior-year and prior-quarter Adjusted Net Income and adjusted diluted EPS figures not reported.
  • Prior-year and prior-quarter Adjusted EBITDA dollar figures not reported.
  • Debt balance not reported.
  • Net debt not reported.
  • Cash flow from operations and Free Cash Flow prior-period dollar amounts not reported.
  • Segment revenue disclosure not reported.
  • FY 2026 revenue, gross margin, tax rate and aggregate operating-expense guidance not reported.
  • Non-cash G&A expense per Boe for the second quarter of 2026 not reported.

AlphAI analysis generated from the company’s SEC earnings filing (Form 8-K Item 2.02, or Form 6-K for a foreign private issuer). Every figure was cross-checked against the filing text; consensus estimates, price targets and share-price reactions are not shown because they are not in the filing. AI-generated research, not investment advice.

Questions about NOG earnings dates

When is Northern Oil & Gas's next earnings date?
NOG is scheduled to report on Nov 5, 2026. The date is confirmed by the company, and AlphAI publishes its own read of the results within minutes of the filing reaching EDGAR.
Where does the date come from, and why is there no estimate?
A confirmed date comes from the company's own announcement. Many sites fill the gap by adding about 91 days to the last report, but that arithmetic is a guess, and a wrong date costs a reader more than a missing one, so AlphAI shows nothing until the company confirms. Every quarter already on this page is read straight from the SEC filing: an 8-K item 2.02 for US filers, a 6-K earnings release for foreign private issuers.