$RUN earnings report

Sunrun reported $870.0 million of second-quarter revenue, up 53% year-over-year, while lowering full-year 2026 Aggregate Subscriber Value and Cash Generation guidance. AlphaAI read Sunrun's Second quarter 2026 filing as mixed.

Second quarter 2026

alphai · Earnings readRUN · Second quarter 2026 · ended June 30, 2026

Sunrun reported $870.0 million of second-quarter revenue, up 53% year-over-year, while lowering full-year 2026 Aggregate Subscriber Value and Cash Generation guidance.

Mixed quarter

Revenue and GAAP net income increased, and storage attachment reached a record 74%, but Subscriber Additions, installed storage capacity, installed solar capacity, Aggregate Subscriber Value, Net Subscriber Value, and Contracted Net Subscriber Value declined year-over-year. The company also reduced its full-year Aggregate Subscriber Value and Cash Generation outlook.

Revenue
$870.0 million
up $300.7 million, or 53% y/y
Customer agreements and incentives revenue
$543.7 million
an increase of $85.7 million, or 19% y/y
EPS · GAAP
$0.42

Key metrics

as reported
MetricValueq/qy/y
Total revenueGAAP$870.0 millionup $300.7 million, or 53%
Total cost of revenueGAAP$541.8 millionan increase of 21% year-over-year
Total operating expensesGAAP$835 millionan increase of 23% compared to the prior year period
Total operating expensesGAAP$835.2 millionan increase of 23% compared to the second quarter of 2025
Net income attributable to common stockholdersGAAP$115.2 million
Net income attributable to common stockholders per basic shareGAAP$0.48 per basic share
Net income attributable to common stockholders per diluted shareGAAP$0.42 per diluted share
Subscriber Additionsother19,793a 31% decrease compared to the second quarter of 2025
Subscribersother1,034,738 Subscribersgrew 10% compared to June 30, 2025
Storage Capacity Installedother332 megawatt hoursa 15% decrease from the second quarter of 2025
Solar Capacity Installedother174 megawattsa 23% decrease from the second quarter of 2025
Subscriber Valueother$59,377a 10% increase compared to the second quarter of 2025
Contracted Subscriber Valueother$55,033a 10% increase compared to the second quarter of 2025
Subscriber Value discount rateother7.3%
Average Investment Tax Creditother44.0%
Storage Attachment Rateother74%
Net Subscriber Valueother$9,444a 44% decrease
Contracted Net Subscriber Valueother$5,100a 61% decrease
Aggregate Subscriber Valueother$1.2 billiona 24% decrease compared to the second quarter of 2025
Creation Costs Reflected in Operating Expensesnon-GAAP$469 milliona 92% increase compared to the second quarter of 2025
Creation Costs Reflected in Capital Expendituresnon-GAAP$519 milliona 37% decrease compared to the second quarter of 2025
Net cash used in operating activitiesGAAP$(186) million
Cash Generationnon-GAAP$23 million
Cash Generation excluding the effects of equipment safe harbor investmentsnon-GAAP$45 million
Equipment safe harbor investmentsother$22 million
Net cash used in investing activitiesGAAP$449 milliona 35% decrease compared to the prior year period
Contracted Net Earning Assetsother$3.7 billion
Total Cashother$1.1 billion
Networked Storage Capacityotherapproximately 4.6 Gigawatt hours
Installed storage and solar systemsothermore than 266,000 storage and solar systems

Segments

SegmentRevenueq/qy/y
Customer agreements and incentives revenueNo specific driver was provided for this revenue category.$543.7 millionan increase of $85.7 million, or 19%
Energy systems and product sales revenueThe increase is primarily due to a transaction entered into in the third quarter of 2025 whereby certain storage and energy systems subject to newly originated Customer Agreements are sold to a third party.$326.3 millionan increase of $214.9 million, or 193%

full-year 2026 outlook

  • NoteAggregate Subscriber Value: $4.6 billion to $4.9 billion
  • NoteCash Generation: $200 million to $375 million, excluding potential investment related to equipment safe harboring

What drove it

  • Storage Attachment Rate was 74% in Q2, up from 70% in the prior-year period.
  • Customer agreements and incentives revenue increased 19% year-over-year.
  • Energy systems and product sales revenue increased 193% year-over-year, primarily due to the third-party transaction for certain storage and energy systems subject to newly originated Customer Agreements.
  • Subscriber Value was $59,377 and Contracted Subscriber Value was $55,033, each a 10% increase compared to the second quarter of 2025.
  • Sunrun, Renew Home, and Tesla announced a non-binding letter of intent to deliver more than 16 gigawatts of fast, flexible energy capacity to hyperscalers and utilities.
  • Sunrun launched a distributed AI data center pilot in July 2026.

Concerns

  • Subscriber Additions were 19,793, a 31% decrease compared to the second quarter of 2025.
  • Storage Capacity Installed was 332 megawatt hours, a 15% decrease from the second quarter of 2025.
  • Solar Capacity Installed was 174 megawatts, a 23% decrease from the second quarter of 2025.
  • Aggregate Subscriber Value was $1.2 billion, a 24% decrease compared to the second quarter of 2025.
  • Net Subscriber Value was $9,444, a 44% decrease compared to $17,004 in the second quarter of 2025.
  • Contracted Net Subscriber Value was $5,100, a 61% decrease compared to $13,032 in the second quarter of 2025.
  • Cash Generation guidance was revised to reflect reduced affiliate channel volumes, a delayed ramp in direct sales activities, and modestly higher capital costs than previously forecasted.
  • Net cash used in operating activities was $(186) million.

What to watch

  • The rate at which the expanded sales force reaches full productivity and the company’s expected exit-year growth rate and unit margins.
  • Full-year delivery against Aggregate Subscriber Value guidance of $4.6 billion to $4.9 billion.
  • Full-year delivery against Cash Generation guidance of $200 million to $375 million, excluding potential investment related to equipment safe harboring.
  • The impact of reduced affiliate channel volumes, the direct-sales ramp, and capital costs on Cash Generation.
  • The expected closing of the August 2026 securitization.
  • Progress in distributed power plant programs and emerging data center and grid edge applications.

Balance sheet and cash flow

  • Contracted Net Earning Assets were $3.7 billion, which included $1.1 billion in Total Cash, as of June 30, 2026.
  • Net cash used in operating activities was $(186) million in the second quarter of 2026.
  • Net cash used in investing activities was $449 million in the second quarter of 2026, a 35% decrease compared to the prior year period.
  • In August 2026, Sunrun placed a $267 million securitization of seasoned residential solar and battery systems.
  • The publicly-placed A- rated Class A Notes priced at a yield of 6.33%, reflecting a spread of 200 basis points, a 20 basis point improvement to the public Class A-1 Notes in Sunrun’s April 2026 securitization.
  • Year-to-date, Sunrun has raised approximately $1.5 billion of non-recourse asset-level debt financing, inclusive of the August 2026 securitization, which is expected to close this month.

Analysis

Sunrun reported $870.0 million of GAAP revenue in the second quarter of 2026, up $300.7 million, or 53%, from the second quarter of 2025. Customer agreements and incentives revenue was $543.7 million, up 19%, while energy systems and product sales revenue was $326.3 million, up 193%. The company attributed the increase in energy systems and product sales revenue primarily to a third-quarter 2025 transaction under which certain storage and energy systems associated with newly originated Customer Agreements are sold to a third party. GAAP net income attributable to common stockholders was $115.2 million, or $0.48 per basic share and $0.42 per diluted share.

The operating picture showed lower installation activity despite increased revenue. Subscriber Additions were 19,793, down 31% year-over-year. Storage Capacity Installed declined 15% to 332 megawatt hours, and Solar Capacity Installed declined 23% to 174 megawatts. At the same time, the installed subscriber base reached 1,034,738 Subscribers, up 10% compared to June 30, 2025. Storage Attachment Rate reached 74%, compared with 70% in the prior-year period, and Sunrun reported approximately 4.6 Gigawatt hours of Networked Storage Capacity as of June 30, 2026.

Unit-value metrics were split. Subscriber Value rose 10% to $59,377 and Contracted Subscriber Value rose 10% to $55,033. However, Net Subscriber Value fell 44% to $9,444 and Contracted Net Subscriber Value fell 61% to $5,100. Aggregate Subscriber Value was $1.2 billion, down 24%. Total operating expenses were reported as $835.2 million, up 23%, while Creation Costs Reflected in Operating Expenses increased 92% to $469 million. Creation Costs Reflected in Capital Expenditures were $519 million, down 37%.

Cash flow and funding remain central. Net cash used in operating activities was $(186) million, while non-GAAP Cash Generation was $23 million, or $45 million excluding $22 million of equipment safe harbor investments. Net cash used in investing activities was $449 million, down 35% year-over-year. Contracted Net Earning Assets were $3.7 billion and included $1.1 billion in Total Cash. Sunrun also cited a $267 million August 2026 securitization and approximately $1.5 billion of year-to-date non-recourse asset-level debt financing.

Management lowered full-year 2026 Aggregate Subscriber Value guidance to $4.6 billion to $4.9 billion from $4.8 billion to $5.2 billion and lowered Cash Generation guidance to $200 million to $375 million from $250 million to $450 million. The CFO cited reduced affiliate channel volumes, a delayed ramp in direct sales activities, and modestly higher capital costs than previously forecasted. The company continues to emphasize a storage-first strategy, expanded sales-force productivity, distributed power plant programs, and data-center and grid-edge applications as potential sources of future Cash Generation.

Management, verbatim

The need for affordable, reliable power has never been more evident, and our storage-first offering is meeting it — customers attached batteries at the highest rate in our history this quarter. We are positioning the business for strong growth, bringing on some of the best talent in the industry and scaling deliberately, with a focus on customer experience and asset quality. And as that engine scales, we're aiming to unlock new ways to monetize the network we've already built, from distributed power plant programs to emerging data center and grid edge applications, creating new streams of Cash Generation.

Mary Powell, Chief Executive Officer

We are revising our full-year Cash Generation outlook to $200 million to $375 million, excluding equipment safe harbor investments, reflecting reduced affiliate channel volumes, a delayed ramp in direct sales activities, and modestly higher capital costs than previously forecasted. Customer demand for our offering remains strong, and as our expanded sales force reaches full productivity, we believe that we will exit the year at a robust growth rate and higher unit margins.

Danny Abajian, Chief Financial Officer

Not in the filing

stated, not guessed
  • Prior-quarter comparisons for reported financial and operating metrics
  • GAAP gross margin
  • GAAP operating income or loss
  • GAAP net income attributable to common stockholders for the prior-year period
  • Prior-year basic and diluted EPS
  • Non-GAAP gross margin
  • Non-GAAP operating income or loss
  • Non-GAAP net income or EPS
  • Debt balance as of June 30, 2026
  • Share repurchases
  • Dividends
  • Full-year 2026 revenue guidance
  • Full-year 2026 gross margin guidance
  • Full-year 2026 operating-expense guidance
  • Full-year 2026 tax-rate guidance
  • Previous-release outlook section for reported-results-versus-prior-guidance comparisons

AlphaAI analysis generated from the company’s SEC earnings filing (Form 8-K Item 2.02, or Form 6-K for a foreign private issuer). Every figure was cross-checked against the filing text; consensus estimates, price targets and share-price reactions are not shown because they are not in the filing. AI-generated research, not investment advice.

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