second quarter 2026
Filed Aug 7, 2026Vistra reported GAAP second quarter 2026 Net Income of $305 million and Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA of $1,767 million, reaffirming 2026 guidance.
Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA increased by $418 million versus the second quarter 2025, supported by higher realized energy and capacity prices and three months' contribution from the plants acquired from Lotus, while 2026 guidance was reaffirmed.
Key metrics
as reported| Metric | Value | q/q | y/y |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net income, three months ended June 30, 2026GAAP | $305 million | – | decreased $22 million |
| Net income, six months ended June 30, 2026GAAP | $1,334 million | – | – |
| Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA, three months ended June 30, 2026non-GAAP | $1,767 million | – | more than 30% |
| Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA, six months ended June 30, 2026non-GAAP | $3,261 million | – | – |
| Retail Adjusted EBITDA, three months ended June 30, 2026non-GAAP | $773 million | – | – |
| Retail Adjusted EBITDA, six months ended June 30, 2026non-GAAP | $841 million | – | – |
| Texas Adjusted EBITDA, three months ended June 30, 2026non-GAAP | $311 million | – | – |
| Texas Adjusted EBITDA, six months ended June 30, 2026non-GAAP | $897 million | – | – |
| East Adjusted EBITDA, three months ended June 30, 2026non-GAAP | $642 million | – | – |
| East Adjusted EBITDA, six months ended June 30, 2026non-GAAP | $1,443 million | – | – |
| West Adjusted EBITDA, three months ended June 30, 2026non-GAAP | $68 million | – | – |
| West Adjusted EBITDA, six months ended June 30, 2026non-GAAP | $124 million | – | – |
| Corporate and Other Adjusted EBITDA, three months ended June 30, 2026non-GAAP | $ (27) million | – | – |
| Corporate and Other Adjusted EBITDA, six months ended June 30, 2026non-GAAP | $ (44) million | – | – |
| Asset Closure Adjusted EBITDA, three months ended June 30, 2026non-GAAP | $ (23) million | – | – |
| Asset Closure Adjusted EBITDA, six months ended June 30, 2026non-GAAP | $ (42) million | – | – |
2026 outlook
- NoteOngoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA $6,800 - $7,600
- NoteOngoing Operations Adjusted FCFbG $3,925 - $4,725
- NotePreviously announced Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA midpoint opportunity range of $7.4 billion to $7.8 billion for 2027.
Capital returns
- Vistra executed ~$6.5 billion in share repurchases since November 2021.
- Vistra had ~336 million shares outstanding, representing a ~30% reduction of the amount of the shares outstanding on Nov. 2, 2021.
- ~$1.2 billion of the share repurchase authorization remained available, which we expect to complete no later than year-end 2027.
What drove it
- Higher realized energy and capacity prices.
- Three months' contribution from the plants acquired from Lotus.
- During recent periods of extreme heat in Texas and the PJM market, Vistra achieved commercial availability of 97% or greater across its fleet.
- As of Aug. 3, 2026, Vistra had hedged approximately 100% of its expected generation volumes for 2026, approximately 94% for 2027, and approximately 72% for 2028.
- Vistra announced Helix Digital Infrastructure alongside KKR, KIA, and NVIDIA with an initial commitment from Vistra of up to $1.0 billion.
- Vistra received Federal Energy Regulatory Commission approval of the pending Cogentrix Energy acquisition.
Concerns
- GAAP second quarter 2026 Net Income included an unrealized loss from hedges expected to settle in future years of $472 million.
- Net Income for the second quarter 2026 was affected by an increase in unrealized mark-to-market losses of $488 million on derivative positions.
- 2026 guidance ranges exclude any potential benefits from the pending acquisition of Cogentrix and the signed power purchase agreements with Meta.
- The 2027 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA midpoint opportunity is not intended to be guidance and actual results could vary with power price market movements and Vistra's hedging strategy.
What to watch
- Completion of the critical summer period and the remainder of the year.
- The pending Cogentrix acquisition.
- Construction of two Permian Basin natural gas units.
- Development of solar facilities, including Oak Hill 2 and Pulaski.
- Helix Digital Infrastructure and Vistra's role as Helix's preferred power provider.
- The expected completion of the remaining ~$1.2 billion share repurchase authorization no later than year-end 2027.
Balance sheet and cash flow
- As of June 30, 2026, Vistra had total available liquidity of approximately $6,295 million.
- Cash and cash equivalents were $435 million.
- Availability under its corporate revolving credit facility was $4,408 million.
- Availability under its commodity-linked revolving credit facility was $1,452 million.
- The commodity-linked revolving credit facility had $298 million of commitments that were not available to be drawn as of June 30, 2026.
Analysis
Vistra reported GAAP Net Income of $305 million for the second quarter 2026, compared with $327 million for the second quarter 2025. The company attributed the $22 million decline primarily to an increase in unrealized mark-to-market losses of $488 million on derivative positions, mostly offset by higher realized prices and capacity revenue and three months' contribution from the plants acquired from Lotus. The release separately identifies an unrealized loss from hedges expected to settle in future years of $472 million within GAAP Net Income.
Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA was $1,767 million in the quarter, compared with $1,349 million in the second quarter 2025, an increase of $418 million and more than 30%. Management cited higher realized energy and capacity prices and the Lotus plants' three-month contribution. Texas Adjusted EBITDA was $311 million versus $142 million, while East was $642 million versus $418 million. Retail Adjusted EBITDA was $773 million versus $756 million, and West was $68 million versus $49 million.
For the six months ended June 30, 2026, Vistra reported Net Income of $1,334 million versus $59 million and Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA of $3,261 million versus $2,589 million. Six-month adjusted EBITDA was led by Texas at $897 million and East at $1,443 million, while Retail was $841 million compared with $940 million in the prior-year period. Corporate and Other and Asset Closure remained negative contributors in both the quarter and the six-month period.
Vistra reaffirmed 2026 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $6,800 - $7,600 and Ongoing Operations Adjusted FCFbG guidance of $3,925 - $4,725. As of Aug. 3, 2026, the company had hedged approximately 100% of expected generation volumes for 2026, approximately 94% for 2027, and approximately 72% for 2028. The guidance excludes potential benefits from the pending Cogentrix acquisition and the signed power purchase agreements with Meta.
Capital allocation remains centered on repurchases, with ~$6.5 billion executed since November 2021 and ~$1.2 billion remaining under the authorization. Liquidity was approximately $6,295 million as of June 30, 2026, including $435 million of cash and cash equivalents. Strategic execution items include the announced Helix Digital Infrastructure investment, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission approval of the pending Cogentrix acquisition, construction of two Permian Basin natural gas units, and development of solar facilities including Oak Hill 2 and Pulaski.
Management, verbatim
The Vistra team delivered another strong quarter, building on our momentum from the start of the year and continuing to execute at a high level.
Jim Burke, president and CEO
We also announced an important investment to further position Vistra for long-term growth.
Jim Burke, president and CEO
Operationally, the Vistra team's preparation and disciplined execution during our annual spring maintenance season set us up for strong, reliable performance during the first half of the summer.
Jim Burke, president and CEO
Not in the filing
stated, not guessed- Total revenue
- Segment revenue
- GAAP gross profit and gross margin
- GAAP operating income
- GAAP and non-GAAP earnings per share
- GAAP cash provided by operating activities
- Actual adjusted free cash flow before growth
- Capital expenditures
- Total debt
- Dividend amount and dividend declaration
- Prior-quarter comparisons for reported metrics
- Previous outlook section for comparison with actual results
- Reconciliation tables and additional financial statements referenced but not included in the provided filing text
AlphaAI analysis generated from the company’s SEC earnings filing (Form 8-K Item 2.02, or Form 6-K for a foreign private issuer). Every figure was cross-checked against the filing text; consensus estimates, price targets and share-price reactions are not shown because they are not in the filing. AI-generated research, not investment advice.