JPMorgan upgrades Republic Services to Overweight and lifts price target

On November 11, JPMorgan upgraded Republic Services from Neutral to Overweight and raised its price target from $265 to $295. JPMorgan expects solid-waste volume growth to turn positive in 2027 after three years of declines, supporting enterprise EBITDA margin expansion at or above the high end of its 30-50 basis-point annual algorithm.

The upgrade makes JPMorgan's view of Republic Services more bullish and raises the valuation level it assigns to the shares. JPMorgan's thesis depends on a return to positive volume growth in 2027 and continued margin expansion.

  • 1JPMorgan raised its Republic Services price target from $265 to $295 while upgrading the rating from Neutral to Overweight.
  • 2JPMorgan expects solid-waste volume growth to become positive in 2027 after three years of negative growth.
  • 3JPMorgan forecasts fiscal-year 2027 and 2028 EBITDA of $5.97 billion and $6.43 billion, respectively.
  • 4JPMorgan forecasts earnings per share of $8.11 for fiscal year 2027 and $9.02 for fiscal year 2028.

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