Morgan Stanley downgrades Coinbase to Underweight and slashes price target to $120

Morgan Stanley cut its rating on Coinbase to Underweight and reduced the price target from $258 to $120. The bank lowered its 2027 revenue forecast by 28% and its adjusted EBITDA estimate for 2027 by 47%, citing weaker trading trends and a softer revenue outlook. Coinbase reported third‑quarter revenue of $1.22 billion, a 35% year‑over‑year decline, with transaction revenue down 44% to $590 million. The downgrade follows a recent Binance hack and a broader slowdown in crypto trading volumes.

The new target implies roughly a 16% downside from the current share price, indicating potential further loss for investors (source 8). The lower forecasts suggest reduced earnings growth through 2028, which may pressure the stock’s valuation.

  • 1Morgan Stanley lowered Coinbase's price target to $120 from $258.
  • 2The bank cut the 2027 revenue forecast by 28%.
  • 3Adjusted EBITDA for 2027 was reduced by 47%.
  • 4Coinbase's third‑quarter revenue was $1.22 billion, down 35% year over year.
  • 5Transaction revenue fell 44% year over year to $590 million.
  • 6The stock was trading at $143.54, near its 52‑week low of $136.89.

Sources