UBS upgrades ArcelorMittal to Buy with €71 price target

UBS raised ArcelorMittal’s rating from Neutral to Buy and lifted its price target from €61 to €71, citing an expected rally in EU steel prices. The bank projects free‑cash‑flow yields of 6%‑8% through 2029 and notes that each €10 per ton increase in steel prices could add about $325 million to EBITDA. The upgrade sent the stock up roughly 4% to €56.54 on the day of the announcement.

UBS expects higher steel prices to boost ArcelorMittal’s free‑cash‑flow yield to 6‑8%, which could support a higher valuation and further share‑price gains.

  • 1UBS upgraded ArcelorMittal’s rating from Neutral to Buy.
  • 2The price target was raised to €71 from €61.
  • 3UBS forecasts free‑cash‑flow yields of 6%‑8% through 2029.
  • 4UBS estimates each €10 per ton increase in EU steel prices adds $325 million to EBITDA and $250 million to free cash flow.
  • 5ArcelorMittal’s Q2 2026 revenue rose 8.4% year over year to $16.8 billion.
  • 6Q2 2026 EBITDA increased 11% year over year to $2.06 billion.

Sources