Roth Capital upgrades Occidental Petroleum to Buy on oil leverage and balance‑sheet improvement

Roth Capital raised its rating on Occidental Petroleum (OXY) from Neutral to Buy on October 19, 2026. The analyst highlighted the company's strong exposure to oil prices, a strengthening balance sheet and a robust drilling inventory. The upgrade cited a target for gross debt of about $10 billion and a plan to generate roughly $4 billion of additional free cash flow by 2030, assuming WTI crude at $65 per barrel. The news lifted OXY’s share price the following day.

Roth Capital expects the debt reduction and free‑cash‑flow growth to give Occidental more flexibility for shareholder returns, including possible share repurchases in 2027. The analyst’s view suggests that investors could benefit if oil prices stay firm and the company meets its deleveraging targets.

  • 1Roth Capital upgraded Occidental Petroleum to a Buy rating on October 19, 2026.
  • 2The upgrade was based on the company’s strong oil‑price leverage, improving balance sheet and sizable drilling inventory.
  • 3Roth expects Occidental’s gross debt to fall to roughly $10 billion.
  • 4Occidental aims to add about $4 billion of free cash flow between 2025 and 2030, assuming WTI crude at $65 per barrel.
  • 5The analyst said the company could use the extra cash flow for share repurchases in 2027 after reaching the debt target.
  • 6Occidental’s dividend yield is 1.66% with a payout ratio of 33% and a 3‑year dividend growth rate of 22.7%.

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