Moderna stock rebounds on positive Phase 3 melanoma vaccine data despite valuation downgrade

Moderna’s personalized cancer vaccine intismeran showed a 42% reduction in melanoma recurrence or death in the Phase 3 INTerpath‑001 trial presented at ESMO 2026 and published in The New England Journal of Medicine. The data lifted the share price about 3‑4% to roughly $215‑$217, even as William Blair cut its rating to Market Perform citing a very high valuation after a huge year‑to‑date rally. Piper Sandler responded by raising its price target to $230, countering the downgrade and suggesting further upside for the stock.

Piper Sandler’s target increase to $230 signals analyst confidence that the trial results could translate into significant revenue, potentially supporting a higher stock valuation. The price rebound shows that investors are willing to buy on the back of peer‑reviewed efficacy data despite concerns about the current multiple.

  • 1The Phase 3 INTerpath‑001 trial demonstrated a 42% reduction in melanoma recurrence or death versus Keytruda alone.
  • 2Moderna’s stock rose 3.1% to $214.41 in morning trading.
  • 3Moderna’s stock rose 4% to $217 later the same day.
  • 4William Blair downgraded Moderna to Market Perform, citing a 636% year‑to‑date gain.
  • 5Piper Sandler raised its price target on Moderna to $230 from $167.
  • 6Analyst Myles Minter estimates a 70%‑75% probability of success for the melanoma indication.
  • Year‑to‑date rally cited as 545% in material 1 versus 636% in material 3.

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