Circle Shares Slide After Mizuho Lowers Target on AI Threat to USDC

Circle Internet Group shares fell 7.2% on October 26 after Mizuho lowered its price objective to $43 from $45 and kept an Underperform view. Mizuho’s testing indicated that AI financial assistants may steer users toward higher-yielding, FDIC-insured accounts instead of USDC, or toward other crypto platforms. The firm estimates a potential medium-term reduction of $4 billion to $9 billion in USDC market capitalization and a 10% to 20% decline in Circle’s reserve revenue.

Mizuho’s estimates indicate a potential threat to the reserve income that supports Circle’s business if AI-driven recommendations change where users hold cash. The estimates describe a possible future impact, not a confirmed reduction in USDC balances or realized revenue.

  • 1Mizuho set its price target at $43, down from $45, and retained an Underperform rating.
  • 2Mizuho estimated that USDC market capitalization could decline by $4 billion to $9 billion over the medium term.
  • 3The research firm estimated that 10% to 20% of Circle’s reserve revenue could be at risk.
  • 4Circle shares traded at $79.72 on October 26, after falling $6.19 from Friday’s close of $85.91.

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