Apple warns of lower Q4 2026 gross margins as memory chip costs surge

Apple said its gross margin for the December 2026 quarter will fall to 45‑46%, down from the 47.9% it posted in the September quarter, as memory chip prices continue to rise. The company also noted that memory cost per iPhone could reach about $245 by 2027, up from roughly $55 today. Apple raised prices on several iPhone models and increased its purchasing commitments by $33 billion, but analysts expect the margin pressure to limit profitability. Shares dropped as much as 4% after the forecast was released.

The lower margin guidance signals reduced profitability for Apple’s holiday quarter, which could affect earnings expectations and stock performance. The company’s shares fell up to 4% on the news, reflecting investor concern over the margin outlook.

  • 1Apple expects gross margin of 45–46% for the December 2026 quarter.
  • 2Apple reported gross margin of 47.9% for the September quarter.
  • 3Memory cost per iPhone is projected to rise to about $245 in 2027, up from about $55 today.
  • 4Memory chip prices have increased 350% over the past year, according to IDC.
  • 5Fiscal fourth‑quarter revenue was $114.48 billion, up 11.7% year over year.
  • 6Earnings per share for the quarter were $2.10.

Sources