Fed holds rates steady, Bitcoin hovers around $81,000 as December hike odds rise

On October 28 the Federal Reserve kept its target range at 3.75 %–4.00 % in a 10‑2 vote, with Governors Lisa Cook and Beth Hammack dissenting for an immediate increase. Bitcoin traded near $81,000 shortly after the announcement, while market trackers priced an 87 % chance of a rate hike in December. The 10‑year Treasury yield was about 5.04 % and the two‑year about 4.78 % on decision day.

The unchanged policy but hawkish tone lifted the probability of a December hike, which could pressure Bitcoin’s upside and affect crypto‑related portfolios (the company notes the higher odds may curb demand). The Fed’s stance also moved Treasury yields, a key driver of risk‑on assets such as Bitcoin.

  • 1The Federal Reserve left its policy range at 3.75 %–4.00 % on Oct 28.
  • 2The vote was 10‑2, with Lisa Cook and Beth Hammack dissenting for a hike.
  • 3Bitcoin price was around $81,000 immediately after the decision.
  • 4Market models assigned an 87 % probability to a December rate increase.
  • 5The 10‑year Treasury yield was near 5.04 % on the day of the decision.
  • 6The two‑year Treasury yield was near 4.78 % on the day of the decision.

Sources