PepsiCo cuts FY2026 earnings outlook amid North America weakness

PepsiCo lowered its fiscal 2026 earnings guidance after weaker‑than‑expected performance in North America. TD Cowen reiterated a Hold rating with a $133 price target and reduced its EPS growth estimate for 2026 to 2.5%, while UBS noted the company now expects core constant‑currency EPS growth of 1%‑2%. The firm still reported stronger‑than‑expected third‑quarter results, with organic sales growth of 3.1% and improved gross margins.

The guidance cut reduces earnings expectations for investors and may keep the stock under pressure, as analysts highlight a 28.5% valuation discount to peers. UBS suggests the stock could improve if North America consumption trends strengthen.

  • 1TD Cowen set a $133.00 price target for PepsiCo.
  • 2TD Cowen lowered its EPS growth estimate for fiscal 2026 to 2.5%.
  • 3PepsiCo reported third‑quarter organic sales growth of 3.1% and EPS of $2.34.
  • 4UBS expects core constant‑currency EPS growth of 1% to 2% for fiscal 2026, down from 4%‑6% previously.
  • 5UBS said PepsiCo trades at a 28.5% discount to peers, versus a five‑year average discount of 3.9%.
  • 6PepsiCo now expects organic sales growth of 3% for fiscal 2026, versus a prior range of 2%‑4% and Street estimates of 2.6%.

Sources