StoneCo shares plunge after Lula’s surprise re‑election in Brazil

StoneCo (STNE) fell sharply in pre‑market trading on Monday following President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s unexpected victory in Brazil’s presidential runoff. The surprise result reversed market expectations of a right‑wing government and revived concerns about higher interest rates and a weaker fiscal outlook for the fintech. The stock dropped to around $7.40, its lowest level in over a year, ahead of its November 12 earnings report.

The steep price decline reflects investors’ reassessment of StoneCo’s near‑term earnings power in a higher‑for‑longer rate environment, which could pressure the company’s revenue and credit portfolio. Analysts note that the firm is expected to post 16% annual earnings growth over the next five years, but the immediate market reaction may increase volatility ahead of the upcoming earnings release.

  • 1StoneCo shares fell 34.7% in pre‑open trading, pricing at $7.50, below the 52‑week low of $8.95.
  • 2In pre‑market trading, the stock was down 35.72% at $7.38 according to Benzinga Pro data.
  • 3Another report recorded a 30.5% drop in the stock after the election result.
  • 4President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva secured roughly 51.5% of the vote in the runoff.
  • 5StoneCo is scheduled to report earnings on November 12, 2026.
  • 6Analysts expect 16% annual earnings growth over the next five years and note a current P/E ratio of 4.2.
  • Materials report three different percentage declines (34.7%, 35.72%, 30.5%) for the same pre‑market move, creating a conflict on the exact magnitude.

Sources