This steel stock has surged in 2026. Why Morgan Stanley sees even more upside ahead
Morgan Stanley upgraded Ternium to overweight, raising its price target to $65 from $55, citing potential U.S. tariff reductions on Mexican steel. The bank expects this to boost Ternium's profitability and shares. Ternium's stock has risen 42% year to date and gained over 1% post-upgrade. Analysts are generally bullish on the stock.
How this was made

The 30-second read
Why it matters
The upgrade signals a shift in analyst expectations, potentially attracting new buying interest.
Market read
Analyst upgrade with a higher price target may drive short‑term buying pressure on TX.
What to watch
Potential cost escalation from raw material price volatility not addressed in the note.
Background
Morgan Stanley's note follows ongoing US‑Mexico tariff talks and Ternium's recent investment cycle completion.
Ticker impact
Morgan Stanley upgraded Ternium to overweight and raised its price target to $65, citing tariff negotiations that could boost profitability.
Potential 10‑15% rally if tariff expectations materialize.
Upgrade is fresh, price target increase is 20% above current price, and the stock already rose >1% on the news.
Market effects
Positive for North American steel sector as tariff reductions could improve margins.
May lift Mexican steel market sentiment and related exporters.
Limited to steel industry; no broad market effect.
Counterpoint
If tariff negotiations stall, the upgrade could be premature and the stock may underperform.
Key entities
- analystMorgan Stanley
Investment bank providing the upgrade and price target.
- companyTernium
Steel producer (ticker TX) subject of the upgrade.



