Is Upstart Stock a Buy After Falling 55% This Year? Here's What to Know as One Insider Disposes of Shares

Upstart Holdings (UPST) reported its best operating quarter since 2021, with Q2 contribution profit reaching $193M, up 37% YoY. CEO Paul Gu highlighted strong core personal loan growth and improved margins in auto and home lending. Despite positive results, the stock trades at a discount, with a mid-target price of ~$124. Management expects secured products to reach breakeven by Q4 2024, with Q3 results being a key test.

Upstart's CFO sold 10,175 shares due to routine tax withholding, retaining 152,208 shares. Q2 revenue was $365M, up 42% YoY, with net income of $16.5M. Despite beating expectations, guidance remained unchanged due to the Upstart Macro Index nearing its range top. CEO Paul Gu highlighted successful execution of their plan.

Upstart Holdings (UPST) reported Q2 net income of $16.5M, up 195% YoY, and originated $4.2B in loans, a 50% YoY increase. The company aims to launch Upstart Bank in 2027, with analysts forecasting a stock price range of $20 to $80. Upstart's AI model processes 91% of loans, improving efficiency and approval rates.

The US OCC denied Wise’s proposed national trust bank and Bunq’s proposed national bank, citing issues including AML/CFT controls, management experience, capitalization, credit-loss assumptions, and profitability. The OCC granted Upstart Bank preliminary conditional approval with capital and compliance conditions. The article notes other pending fintech bank applications, including Revolut Bank US and Payoneer’s PAYO Digital Bank.

Upstart Holdings said it plans to move most or all loan originations to Upstart Bank, targeting a launch in early 2027, pending federal deposit insurance and Federal Reserve approval. Upstart paid originating banks $11.2 million in premium and trailing fees in H1 2025. It would not owe those fees on loans its own bank originates. Upstart shares closed $30.32 Tuesday.

Upstart (UPST) shares rose after the AI loan origination platform reported Q2 results. The stock was up 6.6% at 10:22 a.m. ET. Originations rose 50% to $4.2B and loans originated rose 50% to 558,014. Revenue increased 42% to $364.7M, above estimates, and adjusted EBITDA rose 45% to $76.9M. Full-year guidance was maintained.