Gold and silver likely to see huge gains as debasement trade
Vallum Capital reports gold and silver may rally due to fiscal dominance and real yield shifts. The firm argues the Fed's options lead to currency debasement, benefiting gold. Central banks increased gold purchases by 411% in Q2 2026, while silver outperformed gold by 99 points. Gold prices dropped 25-30% post-Fed chairman nomination but recovered, with ETFs as key retail access.
How this was made

The 30-second read
Why it matters
The report suggests a durable reversal for precious metals, implying upside for related assets.
Market read
Highlights macro drivers that could influence commodity markets and related equities.
What to watch
Central‑bank balance‑sheet constraints and fiscal financing costs may limit the rally.
Background
The article summarizes a Vallum Capital report on gold and silver outlook amid fiscal dominance and real‑yield dynamics.
Market effects
Potential boost to precious‑metal mining stocks and ETFs.
Higher demand in India and emerging markets where gold is a hedge.
Broad‑based commodity sentiment may affect risk‑off flows worldwide.
Counterpoint
If real yields stay negative, gold could underperform relative to other safe‑havens.
Key entities
- Research FirmVallum Capital
Publisher of the precious‑metal outlook report.




