Gordon Haskett reviews restaurant sector estimate revisions
Gordon Haskett analyzed 2026 estimate revisions for 22 restaurant companies, finding 9 saw upward revisions, 3 held steady, and 10 faced downward revisions. Cheesecake Factory, Bloomin’ Brands, BJ’s Restaurants, and Starbucks saw upward revisions across all metrics, while Papa Johns, Wendy’s, and others saw downward revisions. The sector gained 6% over 12 months, underperforming the S&P 500's 18% gain. Revisions to same-store sales had the strongest correlation with share price moves.
How this was made
The 30-second read
Why it matters
The mixed revision landscape may cause rotation within the restaurant sector, rewarding firms with upward revisions and penalizing those with cuts.
Market read
Provides a snapshot of how street estimates are shifting across the restaurant sector, useful for sector‑focused traders.
What to watch
Supply‑chain cost pressures and labor market dynamics could drive future revisions.
Background
Gordon Haskett compiled estimate revisions for >20 restaurant companies after Q2 earnings, highlighting sector trends.
Ticker impact
Upward revisions across all 2026 metrics (same-store sales, EPS, EBITDA, revenue).
potential upside
All metrics upgraded, indicating improved outlook.
Upward revisions across all 2026 metrics.
potential upside
All metrics upgraded, indicating improved outlook.
Upward revisions across all 2026 metrics.
potential upside
All metrics upgraded, indicating improved outlook.
Upward revisions across all 2026 metrics.
potential upside
All metrics upgraded, indicating improved outlook.
Downward revisions across all 2026 metrics.
potential downside
All metrics cut, indicating weaker outlook.
Downward revisions across all 2026 metrics.
potential downside
All metrics cut, indicating weaker outlook.
Downward revisions across all 2026 metrics.
potential downside
All metrics cut, indicating weaker outlook.
Downward revisions across all 2026 metrics.
potential downside
All metrics cut, indicating weaker outlook.
Market effects
Restaurant sector estimate revisions suggest mixed outlook; casual dining shows strength while pizza and fast‑casual lag.
U.S. restaurant stocks may see varied moves based on individual revision direction.
Limited to U.S. equity markets; no broader macro impact.
Counterpoint
Downward revisions may be over‑stated; recent price gains could sustain despite cuts.
Key entities
- analystGordon Haskett
Research firm providing the estimate revision analysis.





